Best MLPs for $100 Oil
Master limited partnerships (MLPs) boast three main attractions: high yields, growing distributions and tax-deferral advantages.
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Brent sea crude oil traded above $102 per barrel yesterday (Feb. 1st) as the political turmoil in
Why is Brent Crude Oil More Expensive than WTI Crude Oil?
An $11 spread in favor of Brent is very unusual; historically WTI has traded about $2 higher than Brent because it is slightly higher quality. But Brent crude is more susceptible to global oil demand spikes because it is closer to the majority of customers, so in times of global panic Brent wins out over WTI. WTI is also being hurt by some refinery shutdowns and increased Canadian imports, resulting in a supply glut at the delivery hub in
Energy-Sensitive MLPs are in a Sweet Spot
Most master limited partnerships (MLPs) are not energy-sensitive because they operate pipelines that get paid based on the volume of oil or natural gas shipped, not the price of these commodities. These are great “all-weather” investments that generate very predictable cash flows and consequently make up the majority of the recommendations in the MLP Profits “Conservative Portfolio.”
However, there are a few MLPs that are leveraged to high energy prices and outperform other MLPs in high-price environments. These U.S.-based MLPs with exposure to energy prices obviously do not benefit directly from Brent’s price run-up, but WTI’s $91 per barrel price is nothing to sneeze at either. Even if WTI stays around its current price level, energy-sensitive MLPs will do just fine. As Roger Conrad wrote last month to his subscribers of MLP Profits:
The biggest acceleration in growth from here, however, could well come from the more commodity-price-sensitive MLPs, assuming oil prices remain on solid ground.
E&P MLPs and G&P MLPs are Both Energy-Sensitive
There are two main types of energy-sensitive MLPs: (1) exploration and production (E&P) and (2) gathering and processing (G&P). The E&P plays produce oil and natural gas directly, whereas the G&P plays are involved in extracting natural gas liquids (NGLs) from natural gas. NGL prices track crude oil prices, not natural gas, so when oil prices rise (like now), G&P MLPs benefit even when “dry” natural gas prices remain in the dumps.
Gathering & Processing |
Cash Distribution Yield |
Regency Energy (NasdaqGS: RGNC). |
6.7% |
Williams Partners (NYSE: WPZ) |
5.9% |
Regarding E&P companies, Elliott’s article lists three companies. These MLPs have slightly higher yields on average since the exploration and production business is more risky:
Exploration & Production |
Cash Distribution Yield |
EV Energy Partners (NasdaqGS: EVEP) |
7.0% |
Legacy Reserves (NasdaqGS: LGCY) |
7.2% |
Linn Energy (NasdaqGS: LINE) |
6.7% |
Another E&P play — Vanguard Natural Resources (NYSE: VNR) – was mentioned in my article Best and Worst MLPs of 2010. A full list of E&P MLPs can be found on the website of the National Association of Publicly-Traded Partnerships.
Find the Best MLPs for 2011 with the Help of MLP Profits
MLPs have performed spectacularly over the past two years and are likely to continue outperforming in 2011. Roger recently told MLP Profits subscribers that MLP fundamentals “still add up to average annual total returns of 10 to 15 percent.”
With crude oil prices rising above $100 per barrel and likely headed even higher, MLPs sensitive to crude oil and NGL prices may be the best-performing MLPs of all. To find out the specific names of the energy-sensitive MLPs Roger and Elliott like best right now, give MLP Profits a try today!