The Year of Living Dangerously: Seven Basic Steps to Protect Your Money
Editor’s Note: Stocks are overvalued, superpower tensions are at their worst since the Cold War, Congress is mired in animosity and dysfunction, and Donald Trump’s first actions as president have brought “shock and awe” to Washington, DC.
If the news headlines are any indication, we’re in for a dangerous year that will continue to shatter societal and political norms.
In this investment environment, nothing is certain. Below, I outline seven essential steps to build a portfolio that can survive the coming turmoil of 2025.
1. Create Your Personal Mission Statement
Define your goals and create a time horizon to attain those goals. Are you saving for your kids’ college? For retirement? To buy a home? To retire early? Define your portfolio’s purpose.
Set a target date and the desired overall end amount. What’s your self-imposed requirement for a minimum rate of return? If your overriding goal is retirement, set a specific date to retire, and assess your future spending needs.
2. Define Your Style/Strategy
Categories to consider include income; growth; conservative; aggressive; active; passive; buy-and-hold; frequent trader.
A key factor to consider is your stage of life. For example: relative youth (aggressive growth); middle age (moderately aggressive); retirement in the next 10 years (income and moderately conservative); retired (stability and income). Your style/strategy should match your mission statement.
3. Devise Risk Management Tactics
Determine your tolerance for risk (a determination that flows from Pillar #2) and create ways to mitigate that risk.
Tactics include asset allocation; diversification; dollar cost averaging; position sizing; supplemental options trades (e.g., covered calls); hedges; rebalancing.
4. Do Your Homework
Conduct due diligence; apply the basic tools of investment research; seek out the advice and guidance of credible analysts (that’s where we come in).
Which investment-picking metrics will you apply (e.g., valuation tools such as price-to-earnings ratios). Which research services/data providers will you use?
5. Control Your Emotions
As long-term market history amply shows, you’ll have to withstand a lot of bumps along the way to reach your goals. Ride out volatility; keep your eye on the long term; don’t give in to fear and greed; don’t be impulsive; don’t succumb to self-delusion; don’t get rattled by news headlines; stick to the facts and stick to your mission statement.
6. Create a Legacy for Your Heirs
If you don’t take measures ahead of time, Uncle Sam will take a huge bites out of your inheritance via the capital gains tax. Your heirs will suffer. Devise an estate plan, with designated beneficiaries.
7. Set Proper Portfolio Allocations
Here are general “Allocation Scenarios,” which you can tweak according to your specific situation:
Allocation Scenario #1: STABILITY (conservative)
Money Market: 85%
Bonds: 15%
Allocation Scenario #2: INCOME (moderately conservative)
Bonds: 60%
International Stocks: 30%
U.S. Stocks: 5%
Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs): 5%
Allocation Scenario #3: MODERATE INCOME (defensive):
Bonds: 60%
Money Market: 20%
U.S. Stocks: 10%
REITs: 5%
International Stocks: 5%
Allocation Scenario #4: GROWTH AND INCOME (moderately aggressive):
U.S. Stocks: 45%
Bonds: 20%
International Stocks: 15%
REITs: 10%
Money Market: 10%
Allocation Scenario #5: GROWTH (aggressive):
U.S. Stocks: 50%
International Stocks: 20%
REITs: 15%
Bonds: 10%
Money Market: 5%
As 2025 and all its uncertainties loom before us, you should consider re-balancing your portfolio to accommodate the likely economic, business and market upheaval of the coming year.
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John Persinos is the editorial director of Investing Daily.
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