A Review of Jim Fink’s Options Trade History
Jim Fink’s Options Trade Performance History
Jim Fink’s Private Options Service Performance |
|||||||
Underlying Stock |
Date Initiated and End Date (if any) |
Trade Duration (actual or until expiration) |
Investment at Risk |
Net Income Received |
Unrealized Gain or Liability |
Net Profit |
|
MetLife |
4/21/11 to 7/8/13 |
809 |
$4,030 |
$274 |
N/A |
$274 |
|
Exelon |
4/28/11 |
2094 |
$1,100 |
($1,100) |
$360 |
($740) |
|
Casey’s General Stores |
5/1/11 to 9/17/11 |
139 |
$3,815 |
$295 |
N/A |
$295 |
|
Molson Coors No. 1 |
5/4/11 to 4/20/13 |
717 |
$4,300 |
$1,060 |
N/A |
$1,060 |
|
Berkshire Hathaway Class B No. 1 |
5/5/11 to 3/17/12 |
317 |
$7,630 |
$680 |
N/A |
$680 |
|
Stericycle No.1 |
5/12/11 to 8/18/12 |
464 |
$690 |
$255 |
N/A |
$255 |
|
Crown Holdings |
5/26/11 to 1/19/13 |
604 |
$3,905 |
$215 |
N/A |
$215 |
|
United Therapeutics No. 1 |
6/2/11 to 7/16/11 |
44 |
$355 |
$95 |
N/A |
$95 |
|
Cisco Systems |
6/9/11 to 5/16/13 |
707 |
$380 |
$547 |
N/A |
$547 |
|
Health Care REIT No. 1 |
6/9/11 to 3/17/12 |
282 |
$860 |
$385 |
N/A |
$385 |
|
Celgene No. 1 |
6/16/11 to 10/22/11 |
128 |
$815 |
$185 |
N/A |
$185 |
|
Intuit No. 1 |
6/22/11 to 10/22/11 |
122 |
$810 |
$190 |
N/A |
$190 |
|
Procter & Gamble No. 1 |
6/30/11 to 1/21/12 |
205 |
$735 |
$265 |
N/A |
$265 |
|
Amgen No. 1 |
7/7/11 to 6/12/12 |
341 |
$855 |
($228) |
N/A |
($228) |
|
Danaher |
7/15/11 to 9/22/12 |
435 |
$805 |
$425 |
N/A |
$425 |
|
Autodesk |
7/21/11 to 4/21/12 |
275 |
$755 |
$275 |
N/A |
$275 |
|
NetEase No. 1 |
7/28/11 to 3/17/12 |
233 |
$770 |
$440 |
N/A |
$440 |
|
CME Group No. 1 |
8/4/11 to 3/17/12 |
226 |
$1,620 |
$380 |
N/A |
$380 |
|
Petrobras |
8/18/11 |
1982 |
$954 |
($779) |
$104 |
($675) |
|
CenturyLink |
8/25/11 to 10/22/11 |
58 |
$490 |
$110 |
N/A |
$110 |
|
Apple No. 1 |
9/1/11 to 11/19/11 |
79 |
$33,900 |
$1,100 |
N/A |
$1,100 |
|
Hansen Natural (Monster Beverage) |
9/1/11 to 12/17/11 |
107 |
$7,100 |
$400 |
N/A |
$400 |
|
Spectra Energy |
9/8/11 to 12/17/11 |
100 |
$585 |
$115 |
N/A |
$115 |
|
Kansas City Southern |
9/22/11 to 12/17/11 |
86 |
$475 |
$225 |
N/A |
$225 |
|
Gold ETF No. 1 |
9/29/11 to 11/19/11 |
51 |
$665 |
$135 |
N/A |
$135 |
|
SPDR S&P 500 ETF No. 1 (bear call spread) |
10/6/11 to 5/19/12 |
226 |
$922 |
($327) |
N/A |
($327) |
|
Deere & Co. No. 1 |
10/13/11 to 12/17/11 |
65 |
$629 |
$121 |
N/A |
$121 |
|
Medtronic No. 1 |
10/31/11 to 2/18/12 |
110 |
$670 |
$130 |
N/A |
$130 |
|
InterDigital |
11/3/11 to 1/21/12 |
79 |
$640 |
$360 |
N/A |
$360 |
|
iShares 20+-Year U.S. Treasury ETF No. 1 |
11/10/11 to 2/18/12 |
100 |
$400 |
$205 |
N/A |
$205 |
|
Apple No. 2 |
11/23/11 to 12/17/11 |
24 |
$830 |
$170 |
N/A |
$170 |
|
Microsoft |
12/1/11 to 6/16/12 |
198 |
$395 |
($265) |
N/A |
($265) |
|
United Therapeutics No. 2 |
12/7/11 to 2/18/12 |
73 |
$580 |
$170 |
N/A |
$170 |
|
Apache |
12/28/11 to 4/21/12 |
115 |
$770 |
$230 |
N/A |
$230 |
|
Schlumberger |
12/29/11 to 2/18/12 |
51 |
$840 |
$160 |
N/A |
$160 |
|
Coinstar |
1/5/12 to 4/21/12 |
107 |
$560 |
$190 |
N/A |
$190 |
|
V.F. Corp. No.1 |
1/12/12 to 5/19/12 |
128 |
$795 |
$205 |
N/A |
$205 |
|
Flowserve |
1/26/12 to 4/21/12 |
86 |
$800 |
$200 |
N/A |
$200 |
|
Buckle No. 1 |
2/2/12 to 9/22/12 |
233 |
$600 |
$250 |
N/A |
$250 |
|
Kellogg |
2/9/12 to 9/22/12 |
226 |
$585 |
$240 |
N/A |
$240 |
|
iShares 20+-Year U.S. Treasury ETF No. 2 |
2/23/12 to 10/20/12 |
240 |
$1,000 |
$145 |
N/A |
$145 |
|
Lufkin |
3/2/12 to 6/22/13 |
477 |
$1,374 |
($209) |
N/A |
($209) |
|
Dominion Resources |
3/8/12 to 7/21/12 |
135 |
$385 |
$115 |
N/A |
$115 |
|
Carbo Ceramics |
3/22/12 to 1/19/13 |
303 |
$966 |
$34 |
N/A |
$34 |
|
Cummins No. 1 |
3/29/12 to 6/22/13 |
450 |
$1,195 |
$25 |
N/A |
$25 |
|
United Therapeutics No. 3 |
4/5/12 to 8/18/12 |
135 |
$610 |
$140 |
N/A |
$140 |
|
Waters No. 1 |
4/12/12 to 2/16/13 |
310 |
$1,228 |
$17 |
N/A |
$17 |
|
Berkshire Hathaway Class B No. 2 |
4/26/12 to 9/22/12 |
149 |
$590 |
$160 |
N/A |
$160 |
|
CME Group No. 2 |
5/3/12 to 9/22/12 |
142 |
$800 |
$200 |
N/A |
$200 |
|
Procter & Gamble No. 2 |
5/14/12 to 7/21/12 |
68 |
$645 |
$105 |
N/A |
$105 |
|
|
5/31/12 to 1/19/13 |
233 |
$815 |
$185 |
N/A |
$185 |
|
Health Care REIT No. 2 |
5/31/12 to 9/22/12 |
114 |
$620 |
$130 |
N/A |
$130 |
|
V.F. Corp. No. 2 |
5/31/12 to 8/18/12 |
79 |
$830 |
$170 |
N/A |
$170 |
|
Celgene No. 2 |
6/7/12 to 10/20/12 |
135 |
$820 |
$180 |
N/A |
$180 |
|
GNC Holdings |
6/14/12 to 9/22/12 |
100 |
$799 |
$201 |
N/A |
$201 |
|
Simon Property Group No. 1 |
6/21/12 to 8/18/12 |
58 |
$830 |
$170 |
N/A |
$170 |
|
Intuit No. 2 |
6/28/12 to 10/20/12 |
114 |
$630 |
$120 |
N/A |
$120 |
|
Leucadia National |
7/5/12 to 12/21/12 |
170 |
$400 |
$210 |
N/A |
$210 |
|
Union Pacific No. 1 |
7/12/12 to 11/17/12 |
128 |
$610 |
$140 |
N/A |
$140 |
|
Amazon.com No. 1 |
7/26/12 to 7/28/12 |
3 |
$920 |
($8) |
N/A |
($8) |
|
LinkedIn No. 1 |
8/1/12 to 8/4/12 |
3 |
$915 |
$160 |
N/A |
$160 |
|
Procter & Gamble No. 3 |
8/2/12 to 10/19/12 |
79 |
$630 |
$120 |
N/A |
$120 |
|
Roper Industries |
8/2/12 to 11/16/12 |
107 |
$810 |
$190 |
N/A |
$190 |
|
S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) |
8/9/12 |
1133 |
$1,625 |
($532) |
($570) |
($1,102) |
|
Monster Beverage |
8/10/12 to 12/22/12 |
134 |
$570 |
$180 |
N/A |
$180 |
|
Gold ETF No. 2 |
8/14/12 to 11/17/12 |
95 |
$800 |
$200 |
N/A |
$200 |
|
Hewlett-Packard |
8/23/12 to 5/18/13 |
268 |
$595 |
$156 |
N/A |
$156 |
|
Salesforce.com No. 1 |
8/23/12 to 8/25/12 |
3 |
$910 |
$190 |
N/A |
$190 |
|
BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust |
8/30/12 to 12/22/12 |
114 |
$5,970 |
$530 |
N/A |
$530 |
|
Lululemon Athletica No. 1 |
9/6/12 to 9/8/12 |
3 |
$700 |
($325) |
N/A |
($325) |
|
AutoZone |
9/18/12 to 9/21/12 |
4 |
$930 |
$160 |
N/A |
$160 |
|
NuStar Energy LP |
9/20/12 to 2/16/13 |
149 |
$705 |
$325 |
N/A |
$325 |
|
Emerson Electric No. 1 |
9/25/12 to 1/19/13 |
116 |
$495 |
$105 |
N/A |
$105 |
|
Energy Transfer Partners No. 1 |
9/27/12 to 12/22/12 |
86 |
$525 |
$225 |
N/A |
$225 |
|
Nike No. 1 |
9/27/12 to 9/29/12 |
3 |
$935 |
$145 |
N/A |
$145 |
|
BlackRock No. 1 |
10/3/12 to 1/19/13 |
108 |
$795 |
$205 |
N/A |
$205 |
|
Occidental Petroleum No. 1 |
10/12/12 to 2/16/13 |
127 |
$555 |
$195 |
N/A |
$195 |
|
Chipotle Mexican Grill No. 1 |
10/18/12 to 10/20/12 |
3 |
$925 |
($850) |
N/A |
($850) |
|
Google No. 1 |
10/18/12 to 10/20/12 |
3 |
$995 |
($800) |
N/A |
($800) |
|
Monsanto No. 1 |
10/18/12 to 1/19/13 |
93 |
$600 |
$150 |
N/A |
$150 |
|
Amazon.com No. 2 |
10/25/12 to 10/27/12 |
3 |
$934 |
$150 |
N/A |
$150 |
|
Laboratory Corp. of America No. 1 |
10/25/12 to 2/16/13 |
114 |
$510 |
$240 |
N/A |
$240 |
|
Medtronic No. 2 |
11/1/12 to 2/16/13 |
107 |
$495 |
$105 |
N/A |
$105 |
|
Becton Dickinson |
11/8/12 to 3/16/13 |
128 |
$335 |
$165 |
N/A |
$165 |
|
Apple No. 3 |
11/15/12 to 12/22/12 |
37 |
$740 |
$260 |
N/A |
$260 |
|
Salesforce.com No. 2 |
11/20/12 to 11/24/12 |
5 |
$946 |
$135 |
N/A |
$135 |
|
V.F. Corp. No. 3 |
11/20/12 to 2/16/13 |
88 |
$815 |
$185 |
N/A |
$185 |
|
NetEase No. 2 |
11/29/12 to 3/16/13 |
107 |
$655 |
$145 |
N/A |
$145 |
|
Lululemon Athletica No. 2 |
12/5/12 to 12/8/12 |
4 |
$715 |
$100 |
N/A |
$100 |
|
Herbalife |
12/6/12 to 5/18/13 |
163 |
$805 |
$250 |
N/A |
$250 |
|
Priceline.com No. 1 |
12/13/12 to 4/20/13 |
128 |
$720 |
$280 |
N/A |
$280 |
|
Intuitive Surgical |
12/20/12 to 1/19/13 |
30 |
$1,625 |
$375 |
N/A |
$375 |
|
Yum! Brands No. 1 |
12/20/12 to 4/20/13 |
121 |
$600 |
$150 |
N/A |
$150 |
|
Tractor Supply Co. No. 1 |
12/26/12 to 4/20/13 |
115 |
$375 |
$125 |
N/A |
$125 |
|
Clorox No. 1 |
1/3/13 to 4/20/13 |
107 |
$600 |
$150 |
N/A |
$150 |
|
Simon Property Group No. 2 |
1/17/13 to 4/20/13 |
93 |
$805 |
$195 |
N/A |
$195 |
|
Buckle No. 2 |
1/24/13 to 3/16/13 |
51 |
$570 |
$180 |
N/A |
$180 |
|
Dick’s Sporting Goods No. 1 |
1/24/13 to 6/22/13 |
149 |
$380 |
$270 |
N/A |
$270 |
|
Amazon.com No. 3 |
1/29/13 to 2/2/13 |
4 |
$920 |
$165 |
N/A |
$165 |
|
Express Scripts |
1/31/13 to 5/18/13 |
107 |
$580 |
$170 |
N/A |
$170 |
|
Chipotle Mexican Grill No. 2 |
2/5/13 to 2/9/13 |
4 |
$905 |
$190 |
N/A |
$190 |
|
NextEra Energy No. 1 |
2/7/13 to 6/22/13 |
135 |
$610 |
$140 |
N/A |
$140 |
|
Praxair No. 1 |
2/14/13 to 7/20/13 |
156 |
$830 |
$405 |
N/A |
$405 |
|
DirecTV |
2/21/13 to 4/20/13 |
58 |
$300 |
$100 |
N/A |
$100 |
|
Murphy Oil |
2/21/13 to 4/20/13 |
58 |
$395 |
$105 |
N/A |
$105 |
|
Priceline.com No. 2 |
2/26/13 to 3/2/13 |
5 |
$915 |
$180 |
N/A |
$180 |
|
Apple No. 4 |
3/7/2013 to 5/18/13 |
72 |
$795 |
$205 |
N/A |
$205 |
|
American Tower No. 1 |
3/15/13 to 7/20/13 |
127 |
$610 |
$140 |
N/A |
$140 |
|
Lululemon Athletica No. 3 |
3/20/13 to 3/23/13 |
3 |
$440 |
$130 |
N/A |
$130 |
|
Amazon.com No. 4 |
03/21/13 to 6/22/13 |
93 |
$770 |
$230 |
N/A |
$230 |
|
Snap-on |
3/21/13 to 6/22/13 |
93 |
$375 |
$125 |
N/A |
$125 |
|
AvalonBay Communities |
3/28/13 to 7/20/13 |
114 |
$830 |
$170 |
N/A |
$170 |
|
Fusion-io |
3/28/13 to 7/10/14 |
469 |
$1,318 |
($143) |
N/A |
($143) |
|
Mastercard No. 1 |
4/4/13 to 5/18/13 |
44 |
$825 |
$175 |
N/A |
$175 |
|
Sherwin-Williams No. 1 |
4/4/13 to 5/18/13 |
44 |
$800 |
$200 |
N/A |
$200 |
|
Baker Hughes |
4/11/13 to 7/20/13 |
100 |
$395 |
$105 |
N/A |
$105 |
|
iShares 20+-Year U.S. Treasury ETF No. 3 |
4/11/2013 to 12/6/13 |
239 |
$1,000 |
($700) |
N/A |
($700) |
|
Clean Harbors |
4/18/13 to 7/20/13 |
93 |
$400 |
$100 |
N/A |
$100 |
|
Google No. 2 |
4/18/13 to 4/20/12 |
3 |
$920 |
$165 |
N/A |
$165 |
|
Best Buy No.1 |
5/2/13 to 1/18/14 |
261 |
$1,125 |
($225) |
N/A |
($225) |
|
LinkedIn No. 2 |
5/2/13 to 5/4/13 |
2 |
$920 |
$170 |
N/A |
$170 |
|
Linn Energy |
5/2/13 |
806 |
$740 |
($485) |
$105 |
($380) |
|
McDonald’s No. 1 |
5/9/2013 to 4/19/14 |
345 |
$755 |
$325 |
N/A |
$325 |
|
SPDR S&P 500 ETF No. 2 (bear calendar spread) |
5/14/13 |
857 |
$1,218 |
($562) |
$134 |
($428) |
|
Accenture |
5/16/13 to 2/21/14 |
281 |
$830 |
$185 |
N/A |
$185 |
|
Baxter International No. 1 |
5/23/13 to 8/17/13 |
86 |
$370 |
$130 |
N/A |
$130 |
|
Health Care REIT No. 3 |
5/30/13 to 1/17/15 |
597 |
$1,060 |
$200 |
N/A |
$200 |
|
Covance |
6/3/13 to 7/20/13 |
47 |
$370 |
$130 |
N/A |
$130 |
|
Stericycle No.2 |
6/6/13 to 8/17/13 |
72 |
$370 |
$130 |
N/A |
$130 |
|
V.F. Corp. No. 4 |
6/6/13 to 8/17/13 |
72 |
$790 |
$210 |
N/A |
$210 |
|
Celgene No. 3 |
6/13/2013 to 10/19/13 |
128 |
$565 |
$185 |
N/A |
$185 |
|
Public Storage |
6/13/2013 to 9/21/13 |
100 |
$790 |
$210 |
N/A |
$210 |
|
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals |
6/13/2013 to 9/21/13 |
100 |
$770 |
$230 |
N/A |
$230 |
|
Apple No. 5 |
6/20/2013 to 9/21/13 |
93 |
$770 |
$230 |
N/A |
$230 |
|
Franklin Resources |
6/27/13 to 8/17/13 |
51 |
$395 |
$105 |
N/A |
$105 |
|
Simon Property Group No. 3 |
6/28/13 to 1/18/14 |
204 |
$815 |
$205 |
N/A |
$205 |
|
Procter & Gamble No. 4 |
7/5/13 to 7/20/13 |
15 |
$420 |
$80 |
N/A |
$80 |
|
Tesla Motors |
7/11/2013 to 9/26/13 |
77 |
$855 |
($630) |
N/A |
($630) |
|
Precision Castparts |
7/12/2013 to 12/21/13 |
162 |
$1,545 |
$455 |
N/A |
$455 |
|
Allergan No. 1 |
07/18/2013 to 9/21/13 |
65 |
$400 |
$100 |
N/A |
$100 |
|
NetFlix |
7/18/13 to 8/17/13 |
30 |
$775 |
$225 |
N/A |
$225 |
|
Amazon.com No. 5 |
07/25/13 to 7/27/13 |
3 |
$935 |
$140 |
N/A |
$140 |
|
W.W. Grainger No. 1 |
7/25/2013 to 9/21/13 |
58 |
$720 |
$280 |
N/A |
$280 |
|
LinkedIn No. 3 |
8/1/13 to 8/3/13 |
2 |
$940 |
($155) |
N/A |
($155) |
|
Chubb No. 1 |
8/5/2013 to 9/21/13 |
47 |
$400 |
$100 |
N/A |
$100 |
|
Parker Hannifin No. 1 |
8/6/2013 to 11/16/13 |
102 |
$400 |
$100 |
N/A |
$100 |
|
Procter & Gamble No. 5 |
8/8/2013 to 12/21/13 |
135 |
$635 |
$115 |
N/A |
$115 |
|
Alexion Pharmaceuticals No. 1 |
08/12/13 to 9/21/13 |
40 |
$820 |
$180 |
N/A |
$180 |
|
Amazon.com No. 6 |
08/15/2013 to 10/19/13 |
65 |
$790 |
$210 |
N/A |
$210 |
|
Nike No. 2 |
8/15/2013 to 10/19/13 |
65 |
$385 |
$115 |
N/A |
$115 |
|
Kinder Morgan Energy Partners |
8/22/13 to 12/20/14 |
485 |
$627 |
$303 |
N/A |
$303 |
|
BlackRock No. 2 |
8/27/2013 to 10/19/13 |
53 |
$780 |
$220 |
N/A |
$220 |
|
Yum! Brands No. 2 |
8/29/2013 to 11/16/13 |
79 |
$400 |
$145 |
N/A |
$145 |
|
Gilead Sciences No. 1 |
9/5/2013 to 11/16/13 |
72 |
$385 |
$115 |
N/A |
$115 |
|
iShares MSCI EAFE Index ETF |
9/5/2013 to 11/16/13 |
72 |
$395 |
$105 |
N/A |
$105 |
|
Lululemon Athletica No. 4 |
9/11/13 to 9/14/13 |
3 |
$470 |
$90 |
N/A |
$90 |
|
Agilent Technologies |
09/12/13 to 11/16/13 |
65 |
$500 |
$100 |
N/A |
$100 |
|
Union Pacific No. 2 |
9/12/2013 to 11/16/13 |
65 |
$400 |
$100 |
N/A |
$100 |
|
Helmerich & Payne No. 1 |
9/19/2013 to 12/21/13 |
93 |
$395 |
$105 |
N/A |
$105 |
|
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF No. 1 |
9/19/2013 to 2/22/14 |
156 |
$685 |
$320 |
N/A |
$320 |
|
Advance Auto Parts No. 1 |
09/23/2013 to 12/21/13 |
89 |
$405 |
$95 |
N/A |
$95 |
|
Deere & Co. No. 2 |
9/26/13 to 1/18/14 |
114 |
$395 |
$255 |
N/A |
$255 |
|
Praxair No. 2 |
10/3/13 to 11/16/13 |
44 |
$370 |
$130 |
N/A |
$130 |
|
Sunoco Logistics Partners No. 1 |
10/3/13 to 11/16/13 |
44 |
$380 |
$120 |
N/A |
$120 |
|
Allergan No. 2 |
10/17/13 to 1/18/14 |
93 |
$380 |
$120 |
N/A |
$120 |
|
Equinix |
10/17/13 to 12/21/13 |
65 |
$370 |
$130 |
N/A |
$130 |
|
Google No. 3 |
10/17/13 to 10/19/13 |
3 |
$940 |
($800) |
N/A |
($800) |
|
Monsanto No. 2 |
10/17/13 to 1/18/14 |
93 |
$597 |
$153 |
N/A |
$153 |
|
Amazon.com No. 7 |
10/24/2013 to 10/26/13 |
3 |
$925 |
($170) |
N/A |
($170) |
|
BioMarin Pharmaceutical |
10/28/13 to 1/18/14 |
82 |
$300 |
$200 |
N/A |
$200 |
|
BlackRock No. 3 |
10/31/13 to 1/18/14 |
79 |
$810 |
$190 |
N/A |
$190 |
|
SolarCity |
10/31/13 to 1/18/14 |
79 |
$345 |
$155 |
N/A |
$155 |
|
W.W. Grainger No. 2 |
10/31/13 |
624 |
$1,626 |
$544 |
($818) |
($274) |
|
Laboratory Corp. of America No. 2 |
10/31/13 to 5/16/14 |
198 |
$940 |
$60 |
N/A |
$60 |
|
Honeywell |
11/4/13 to 12/21/13 |
47 |
$388 |
$112 |
N/A |
$112 |
|
Baxter International No. 2 |
11/7/13 to 2/22/14 |
107 |
$400 |
$100 |
N/A |
$100 |
|
Energy Transfer Partners No. 2 |
11/7/13 to 1/18/14 |
72 |
$400 |
$100 |
N/A |
$100 |
|
Priceline.com No. 3 |
11/7/13 to 11/9/13 |
3 |
$860 |
$140 |
N/A |
$140 |
|
Discover Financial Services |
11/14/13 to 12/31/13 |
47 |
$355 |
($290) |
N/A |
($290) |
|
Outerwall |
11/14/13 to 12/21/13 |
37 |
$385 |
$115 |
N/A |
$115 |
|
Panera Bread No. 1 |
11/14/13 to 2/22/14 |
100 |
$395 |
$105 |
N/A |
$105 |
|
SolarWinds |
11/21/2013 to 3/20/15 |
484 |
$1,050 |
$670 |
N/A |
$670 |
|
Philip Morris International |
11/27/13 to 5/17/14 |
171 |
$555 |
$285 |
N/A |
$285 |
|
Sunoco Logistics Partners No. 2 |
11/27/13 to 2/22/14 |
87 |
$330 |
$170 |
N/A |
$170 |
|
Occidental Petroleum No. 2 |
11/27/13 to 5/16/14 |
171 |
$710 |
$365 |
N/A |
$365 |
|
Hess No. 1 |
12/5/13 to 2/22/14 |
79 |
$395 |
$105 |
N/A |
$105 |
|
HollyFrontier |
12/5/13 to 3/22/14 |
107 |
$370 |
$130 |
N/A |
$130 |
|
Digital Realty |
12/12/13 to 7/19/14 |
219 |
$700 |
$390 |
N/A |
$390 |
|
Noble Energy |
12/12/13 to 2/22/14 |
72 |
$385 |
$115 |
N/A |
$115 |
|
Priceline.com No. 4 |
12/12/13 to 2/22/14 |
72 |
$830 |
$170 |
N/A |
$170 |
|
Buckle No. 3 |
12/19/13 to 9/20/14 |
275 |
$390 |
$280 |
N/A |
$280 |
|
Google No. 4 |
12/19/13 to 3/22/14 |
93 |
$1,385 |
$115 |
N/A |
$115 |
|
IBM |
12/19/13 to 2/22/14 |
65 |
$385 |
$115 |
N/A |
$115 |
|
Dick’s Sporting Goods No. 2 |
12/26/13 to 3/22/14 |
86 |
$395 |
$105 |
N/A |
$105 |
|
Halliburton |
12/30/13 to 3/22/14 |
82 |
$343 |
$157 |
N/A |
$157 |
|
Buffalo Wild Wings No. 1 |
1/2/14 to 3/22/14 |
79 |
$345 |
$155 |
N/A |
$155 |
|
Tractor Supply Co. No. 2 |
1/2/14 to 4/17/15 |
470 |
$1,105 |
$40 |
N/A |
$40 |
|
Mastercard No. 2 |
1/9/14 to 7/19/14 |
191 |
$1,750 |
$250 |
N/A |
$250 |
|
Gilead Sciences No. 2 |
1/13/14 to 3/22/14 |
68 |
$370 |
$130 |
N/A |
$130 |
|
Brinker International |
1/16/14 to 4/19/14 |
93 |
$385 |
$115 |
N/A |
$115 |
|
Sherwin-Williams No. 2 |
1/16/14 to 3/22/14 |
65 |
$375 |
$125 |
N/A |
$125 |
|
Kohl’s Corp. No. 1 |
1/23/14 to 3/22/14 |
58 |
$370 |
$130 |
N/A |
$130 |
|
Ralph Lauren |
1/23/14 to 3/22/14 |
58 |
$350 |
$150 |
N/A |
$150 |
|
Clorox No. 2 |
1/30/14 to 4/19/14 |
79 |
$395 |
$105 |
N/A |
$105 |
|
The Coca-Cola Company No. 1 |
1/30/14 to 4/19/14 |
79 |
$395 |
$105 |
N/A |
$105 |
|
3M No. 1 |
2/6/14 to 4/19/14 |
72 |
$345 |
$155 |
N/A |
$155 |
|
Aon |
2/6/14 to 4/19/14 |
72 |
$385 |
$115 |
N/A |
$115 |
|
Allstate |
2/13/14 to 4/19/14 |
65 |
$325 |
$125 |
N/A |
$125 |
|
PPG Industries No. 1 |
2/13/14 to 5/17/14 |
93 |
$380 |
$120 |
N/A |
$120 |
|
Dillard’s No. 1 |
2/20/14 to 5/17/14 |
86 |
$350 |
$150 |
N/A |
$150 |
|
Ecolab No. 1 |
2/20/14 to 4/19/14 |
58 |
$385 |
$115 |
N/A |
$115 |
|
Boeing |
2/27/14 to 5/17/14 |
79 |
$385 |
$115 |
N/A |
$115 |
|
CVS Caremark |
2/27/14 to 5/17/14 |
79 |
$398 |
$102 |
N/A |
$102 |
|
Bed, Bath & Beyond |
3/6/14 to 11/22/14 |
261 |
$635 |
$135 |
N/A |
$135 |
|
Qihoo 360 Technology |
3/6/14 to 3/8/14 |
2 |
$455 |
$115 |
N/A |
$115 |
|
Fastenal |
3/13/14 to 5/17/14 |
65 |
$400 |
$100 |
N/A |
$100 |
|
FireEye |
3/13/14 to 3/21/14 |
8 |
$375 |
($335) |
N/A |
($335) |
|
O’Reilly Automotive No. 1 |
3/13/14 to 5/17/14 |
65 |
$395 |
$105 |
N/A |
$105 |
|
Johnson & Johnson No.1 |
3/20/14 to 5/17/14 |
58 |
$395 |
$105 |
N/A |
$105 |
|
McKesson Corp. No.1 |
3/20/14 to 6/21/14 |
93 |
$735 |
$265 |
N/A |
$265 |
|
NextEra Energy No. 2 |
3/27/14 to 6/21/14 |
86 |
$400 |
$100 |
N/A |
$100 |
|
The Hershey Company |
3/27/14 |
512 |
$1,225 |
($1,225) |
$50 |
($1,175) |
|
The Travelers Companies |
3/27/14 to 5/17/14 |
51 |
$400 |
$100 |
N/A |
$100 |
|
Archer-Daniels-Midland |
4/3/14 to 8/18/14 |
137 |
$837 |
($332) |
N/A |
($332) |
|
Stratasys |
4/4/14 to 9/20/14 |
169 |
$900 |
$100 |
N/A |
$100 |
|
Amazon.com No. 8 |
4/10/2014 to 6/21/14 |
72 |
$775 |
$225 |
N/A |
$225 |
|
Mylan |
4/10/14 to 5/17/14 |
37 |
$370 |
$130 |
N/A |
$130 |
|
Teradata |
4/10/14 |
459 |
$575 |
$300 |
($423) |
($123) |
|
Deere & Co. No. 3 |
4/17/14 to 6/21/14 |
65 |
$370 |
$130 |
N/A |
$130 |
|
EQT Corp. |
4/17/14 to 6/21/14 |
65 |
$365 |
$135 |
N/A |
$135 |
|
Amazon.com No. 9 |
4/24/2014 to 4/26/14 |
2 |
$695 |
$130 |
N/A |
$130 |
|
Panera Bread No. 2 |
4/24/14 to 6/21/14 |
58 |
$390 |
$110 |
N/A |
$110 |
|
Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance No. 1 |
4/24/14 to 6/21/14 |
58 |
$400 |
$100 |
N/A |
$100 |
|
Waters No. 2 |
4/24/14 to 6/20/14 |
57 |
$400 |
$60 |
N/A |
$60 |
|
Edwards Lifesciences No. 1 |
5/1/14 to 6/21/14 |
51 |
$400 |
$100 |
N/A |
$100 |
|
Meritage Homes |
5/1/14 to 9/19/14 |
141 |
$400 |
$180 |
N/A |
$180 |
|
Quest Diagnostics |
5/1/14 to 6/21/14 |
51 |
$400 |
$100 |
N/A |
$100 |
|
FMC Technologies |
5/8/14 to 7/19/14 |
72 |
$395 |
$105 |
N/A |
$105 |
|
Reynolds American |
5/8/14 to 8/16/14 |
100 |
$360 |
$140 |
N/A |
$140 |
|
Ecolab No. 2 |
5/15/14 to 7/19/14 |
65 |
$365 |
$135 |
N/A |
$135 |
|
Stericycle No.3 |
5/15/14 to 8/16/14 |
93 |
$385 |
$115 |
N/A |
$115 |
|
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF No. 2 |
5/16/14 to 10/18/14 |
155 |
$940 |
$60 |
N/A |
$60 |
|
Boston Beer |
5/22/14 to 7/19/14 |
58 |
$750 |
$250 |
N/A |
$250 |
|
Omnicom |
5/22/14 to 10/18/14 |
149 |
$390 |
$165 |
N/A |
$165 |
|
V.F. Corp. No. 5 |
5/22/14 to 8/16/14 |
86 |
$400 |
$100 |
N/A |
$100 |
|
Advance Auto Parts No. 2 |
5/29/14 to 10/17/14 |
141 |
$920 |
($520) |
N/A |
($520) |
|
Amgen No. 2 |
5/29/14 to 10/17/14 |
141 |
$335 |
$320 |
N/A |
$320 |
|
Walt Disney No. 1 |
6/5/14 to 8/15/14 |
71 |
$375 |
($205) |
N/A |
($205) |
|
B/E Aerospace |
6/10/14 |
402 |
$1,147 |
($1,147) |
$88 |
($1,059) |
|
Dick’s Sporting Goods No. 3 |
6/12/14 to 9/20/14 |
100 |
$370 |
$130 |
N/A |
$130 |
|
McDonald’s No. 2 |
6/12/14 to 6/19/15 |
372 |
$850 |
$335 |
N/A |
$335 |
|
Procter & Gamble No. 6 |
6/23/14 to 8/16/14 |
54 |
$345 |
$155 |
N/A |
$155 |
|
Dillard’s No. 2 |
6/26/14 to 8/13/14 |
48 |
$370 |
($15) |
N/A |
($15) |
|
Sotheby’s |
6/26/14 to 2/20/15 |
239 |
$905 |
$190 |
N/A |
$190 |
|
Cummins No. 2 |
7/10/14 |
435 |
$1,160 |
($1,160) |
$405 |
($755) |
|
Emerson Electric No. 2 |
7/10/14 |
435 |
$1,085 |
($1,085) |
$222 |
($863) |
|
Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance No. 2 |
7/17/14 to 9/20/14 |
65 |
$380 |
$120 |
N/A |
$120 |
|
Amazon.com No. 10 |
7/24/2014 to 7/25/14 |
2 |
$455 |
($332) |
N/A |
($332) |
|
Diageo |
7/24/14 |
358 |
$900 |
($900) |
$712 |
($188) |
|
Actavis plc |
7/31/14 to 9/20/14 |
51 |
$335 |
$165 |
N/A |
$165 |
|
LinkedIn No. 4 |
7/31/14 to 8/2/14 |
2 |
$455 |
$100 |
N/A |
$100 |
|
Amazon.com No. 11 |
8/7/14 to 9/20/14 |
44 |
$400 |
$100 |
N/A |
$100 |
|
Celgene No. 4 |
8/7/14 to 8/15/14 |
8 |
$275 |
($215) |
N/A |
($215) |
|
Nike No. 3 |
8/14/14 to 10/18/14 |
65 |
$390 |
$110 |
N/A |
$110 |
|
CME Group No. 3 |
8/21/14 to 9/20/14 |
30 |
$380 |
$120 |
N/A |
$120 |
|
Russell 2000 Index |
8/21/14 to 9/20/14 |
30 |
$390 |
$110 |
N/A |
$110 |
|
Buffalo Wild Wings No. 2 |
8/28/14 to 1/17/15 |
142 |
$815 |
$185 |
N/A |
$185 |
|
Intuit No. 3 |
8/28/14 to 9/20/14 |
23 |
$385 |
$115 |
N/A |
$115 |
|
T. Rowe Price |
9/4/14 to 4/17/15 |
225 |
$830 |
$310 |
N/A |
$310 |
|
Mastercard No. 3 |
9/5/14 to 1/17/15 |
134 |
$585 |
$165 |
N/A |
$165 |
|
Helmerich & Payne No. 2 |
9/11/14 |
309 |
$1,090 |
($90) |
($358) |
($448) |
|
United Parcel Service |
9/11/14 to 11/22/14 |
72 |
$395 |
$105 |
N/A |
$105 |
|
O’Reilly Automotive No. 2 |
9/18/14 to 11/22/14 |
65 |
$380 |
$120 |
N/A |
$120 |
|
Royal Caribbean Cruises |
9/22/14 to 12/20/14 |
89 |
$370 |
$130 |
N/A |
$130 |
|
Edwards Lifesciences No. 2 |
9/25/14 to 10/30/14 |
35 |
$325 |
($305) |
N/A |
($305) |
|
Harley-Davidson |
9/25/14 to 11/22/14 |
58 |
$380 |
$120 |
N/A |
$120 |
|
Parker Hannifin No. 2 |
9/25/14 to 11/22/14 |
58 |
$390 |
$110 |
N/A |
$110 |
|
Seattle Genetics |
10/2/14 to 12/20/14 |
79 |
$400 |
$100 |
N/A |
$100 |
|
Yum! Brands No. 3 |
10/2/14 to 11/22/14 |
51 |
$375 |
$125 |
N/A |
$125 |
|
Kohl’s Corp. No. 2 |
10/9/14 to 1/17/15 |
100 |
$370 |
$130 |
N/A |
$130 |
|
Visa |
10/9/14 to 12/20/14 |
72 |
$375 |
$125 |
N/A |
$125 |
|
Procter & Gamble No. 7 |
10/16/14 to 12/20/14 |
65 |
$355 |
$145 |
N/A |
$145 |
|
Phillips 66 |
10/30/14 to 2/20/15 |
113 |
$790 |
$210 |
N/A |
$210 |
|
The Coca-Cola Company No. 2 |
10/30/14 to 12/20/14 |
51 |
$500 |
$100 |
N/A |
$100 |
|
Best Buy No.2 |
11/6/14 to 6/19/15 |
225 |
$745 |
$105 |
N/A |
$105 |
|
SPDR Health Care ETF |
11/7/14 to 12/20/14 |
43 |
$390 |
$110 |
N/A |
$110 |
|
Western Digital |
11/13/14 to 12/20/14 |
37 |
$400 |
$100 |
N/A |
$100 |
|
CBS Corp. |
11/20/14 to 12/20/14 |
30 |
$390 |
$110 |
N/A |
$110 |
|
SPDR S&P 500 ETF No. 3 |
11/20/14 to 12/31/14 |
41 |
$443 |
$157 |
N/A |
$157 |
|
Baxter International No. 3 |
11/26/14 |
233 |
$820 |
($820) |
$705 |
($115) |
|
Michael Kors |
12/4/14 |
260 |
$900 |
($900) |
$5 |
($895) |
|
Sunoco Logistics Partners No. 3 |
12/4/14 to 2/20/15 |
78 |
$400 |
$100 |
N/A |
$100 |
|
Hess No. 2 |
12/11/14 to 2/20/15 |
71 |
$345 |
$155 |
N/A |
$155 |
|
Cardinal Health |
12/26/14 to 2/20/15 |
56 |
$395 |
$105 |
N/A |
$105 |
|
Dick’s Sporting Goods No. 4 |
12/31/14 to 3/20/15 |
79 |
$385 |
$115 |
N/A |
$115 |
|
Zimmer Holdings |
1/2/15 to 2/20/15 |
49 |
$380 |
$120 |
N/A |
$120 |
|
Panera Bread No. 3 |
1/5/15 to 5/15/15 |
130 |
$865 |
$135 |
N/A |
$135 |
|
Gold ETF No. 3 |
1/8/15 to 2/20/15 |
43 |
$385 |
$115 |
N/A |
$115 |
|
iShares 20+-Year U.S. Treasury ETF No. 4 |
1/12/15 to 2/20/15 |
39 |
$390 |
$110 |
N/A |
$110 |
|
Hasbro |
1/15/15 to 4/17/15 |
92 |
$390 |
$110 |
N/A |
$110 |
|
Praxair No. 3 |
1/15/15 to 4/17/15 |
92 |
$380 |
$120 |
N/A |
$120 |
|
Walt Disney No. 2 |
1/20/15 to 2/20/15 |
31 |
$405 |
$95 |
N/A |
$95 |
|
V.F. Corp. No. 6 |
1/22/15 to 3/20/15 |
57 |
$390 |
$110 |
N/A |
$110 |
|
Kohl’s Corp. No. 3 |
1/22/15 to 3/20/15 |
57 |
$370 |
$130 |
N/A |
$130 |
|
Crown Holdings |
1/23/15 to 3/20/15 |
56 |
$395 |
$105 |
N/A |
$105 |
|
The Coca-Cola Company No. 3 |
1/29/15 |
204 |
$372 |
$216 |
($175) |
$41 |
|
Cognizant Technology Solutions |
1/29/15 to 3/20/15 |
50 |
$400 |
$100 |
N/A |
$100 |
|
Amazon.com No. 12 |
1/29/15 to 1/31/15 |
2 |
$435 |
($320) |
N/A |
($320) |
|
Priceline.com No. 5 |
2/5/15 to 3/20/15 |
43 |
$380 |
$120 |
N/A |
$120 |
|
3M No. 2 |
2/9/15 to 3/20/15 |
39 |
$390 |
$110 |
N/A |
$110 |
|
Nike No. 4 |
2/19/15 to 3/20/15 |
29 |
$365 |
$135 |
N/A |
$135 |
|
Chubb No. 2 |
2/19/15 |
148 |
$385 |
$270 |
($215) |
$55 |
|
GlaxoSmithKline |
2/26/15 |
176 |
$400 |
$125 |
($360) |
($235) |
|
Foot Locker |
2/26/15 to 5/15/15 |
78 |
$355 |
$145 |
N/A |
$145 |
|
PPG Industries No. 2 |
2/26/15 |
176 |
$855 |
($855) |
$760 |
($95) |
|
SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF |
3/5/15 to 5/15/15 |
71 |
$400 |
$215 |
N/A |
$215 |
|
Vanguard REIT ETF |
3/6/15 |
196 |
$665 |
$245 |
($510) |
($265) |
|
Union Pacific No. 3 |
3/12/15 |
162 |
$892 |
($892) |
$157 |
($735) |
|
Campbell Soup Company |
3/19/15 to 5/15/15 |
57 |
$395 |
$105 |
N/A |
$105 |
|
Colgate-Palmolive |
3/19/15 to 5/15/15 |
57 |
$385 |
$115 |
N/A |
$115 |
|
Brown-Forman Class B |
3/23/15 to 6/19/15 |
88 |
$410 |
$90 |
N/A |
$90 |
|
Allstate |
3/26/15 |
113 |
$411 |
($411) |
$137 |
($274) |
|
SPDR Utilities ETF |
3/26/15 |
176 |
$395 |
$230 |
($237) |
($7) |
|
Johnson & Johnson No.2 |
4/2/15 to 5/15/15 |
43 |
$397 |
$103 |
N/A |
$103 |
|
PepsiCo |
4/9/15 |
99 |
$387 |
$113 |
($39) |
$74 |
|
DTE Energy |
4/9/15 |
99 |
$360 |
$140 |
($455) |
($315) |
|
American Tower No. 2 |
4/16/15 |
92 |
$380 |
$120 |
($60) |
$60 |
|
NextEra Energy No. 3 |
4/16/15 to 6/19/15 |
64 |
$400 |
$100 |
N/A |
$100 |
|
Costco Wholesale |
4/23/15 |
85 |
$340 |
$160 |
($404) |
($244) |
|
Allergan No. 3 (name changed from Actavis plc) |
4/23/15 to 6/19/15 |
57 |
$360 |
$140 |
N/A |
$140 |
|
Edwards Lifesciences No. 3 |
4/30/15 to 6/19/15 |
50 |
$380 |
$120 |
N/A |
$120 |
|
McKesson No. 2 |
4/30/15 to 6/19/15 |
50 |
$775 |
$225 |
N/A |
$225 |
|
Lululemon Athletica No. 5 |
5/7/15 to 6/19/15 |
43 |
$400 |
$100 |
N/A |
$100 |
|
Intuit No. 4 |
5/7/15 |
71 |
$395 |
$105 |
($13) |
$92 |
|
Valero Energy |
5/7/15 |
134 |
$400 |
$200 |
($143) |
$57 |
|
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF No. 3 |
5/14/15 |
127 |
$855 |
$145 |
($465) |
($320) |
|
Chevron |
5/19/15 |
122 |
$760 |
($760) |
$440 |
($320) |
|
S&P 500 Index |
5/19/15 to 5/22/15 |
3 |
$355 |
$145 |
N/A |
$145 |
|
Lennar |
5/21/15 |
92 |
$400 |
$150 |
($126) |
$24 |
|
Molson Coors No. 2 |
5/26/15 |
52 |
$405 |
$95 |
($50) |
$45 |
|
Amazon.com No. 13 |
5/26/15 |
52 |
$400 |
$100 |
($12) |
$88 |
|
Alexion Pharmaceuticals No. 2 |
5/28/15 |
85 |
$360 |
$140 |
($45) |
$95 |
|
Southern Company |
6/4/15 |
78 |
$378 |
$122 |
($181) |
($59) |
|
Varian Medical Systems |
6/4/15 |
78 |
$375 |
$125 |
($163) |
($38) |
|
CME Group No. 4 |
6/11/15 to 6/19/15 |
8 |
$405 |
($340) |
N/A |
($340) |
|
Berkshire Hathaway Class B No. 3 |
6/18/15 |
92 |
$335 |
$165 |
($164) |
$1 |
|
TOTALS |
|
138 |
$275,981 |
$30,310 |
($1,602) |
$28,708 |
Total income received was $30,310 and net profit is $28,708 (excluding commissions). With interest rates so low, I conservatively assume that interest income from cash balances is zero. To generate a rate of return, just divide the $28,708 in net profit by the $275,981 in total money at risk (adding up the money at risk for all the individual trades) and the result is 10.40 percent.
Since the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) gained 57.58 percent over the same 50-month (1520 day) period, my Options for Income service’s portfolio trailed the S&P 500 by 47.18 percent (10.40% – 57.58%). But the raw performance number for OFI is unrealistic because it assumes that cash devoted to a trade is never re-deployed. After investing $33,900 selling an Apple put naked, would you simply keep the cash uninvested after the put expired worthless for maximum profit? No, you would re-invest that $33,900 cash in a new trade! Consequently, the 10.40 percent raw return for the OFI portfolios over the past 1520 days significantly understates our true profit-generating power.
The average trade duration was 138.11 days, which remains far less than half a year, so if you want to simulate cash reinvestment, multiply the 10.40 percent 1520-day return by 11 (1520/138.11) to get a more-realistic 114.48 percent return with recycled cash.
Including dividend reinvestment for the S&P 500 increases its return to 71.89 percent, but that is 42.59 percent lower than our cash-reinvested return. To be fair, many of my Options for Income service’s members recommend a 25% cash reserve to take into account trade adjustments such as spread widenings and debit rolls, so a more conservative OFI return would be 75% of the 114.48 percent figure, or 85.86 percent, but that still outperforms the S&P 500 by 14 percentage points.
Portfolio |
Raw 1520-Day Rate of Return: 4/21/11 to 6/19/15 |
Including Cash Reinvestment |
Options for Income |
10.40% |
114.48% |
S&P 500 |
57.58% |
71.89% |
OFI Relative Performance |
-47.18% |
+42.59% |
I am also happy to say that out of the 346 total trade recommendations made over this time period, 293 have been profitable — a “win rate” of 84.68 percent. Ken Kam of Marketocracy.com, a website that tracks the performance of top investors, has written that “a winning percentage of 66 percent would be excellent and would rank among our best investors on this measure.” So, OFI’s 84.68 percent win rate is above Marketocracy.com’s threshold figure of excellence.
I like to play “what if” by slicing and dicing the OFI portfolio in different ways to see how performance could have been improved. It turns out that put spreads in the “Conservative Income” portfolio are the most successful with an astoundingly-high win rate of 91.14 percent. Boring is beautiful! Selling naked puts has a higher probability of success (i.e., increases the win rate), but a significantly lower rate of return. For example, Apple trade No. 1 involved a naked put. Even though the trade made its maximum $1,100 profit, it included a huge $33,900 margin requirement which dragged the typical 20-percent-plus rate of return from put spreads all the way down to 3.2 percent ($1,100/$33,900).
Of the 33 “Gunslinger” trades, 21 were winners and 12 were losers for a win rate of 63.64 percent, which is slightly lower than the 68.2 percent expected win rate of one-standard-deviation trades. A total return of -5.40 percent doesn’t sound profitable, and it isn’t. On the other hand, the gunslingers didn’t lose much either: – $1,375 on total investment of $275,981 (half of one percent). The most recent gunslinger was CME Group (CME) on June 11th which unfortunately didn’t work out because of a completely unforeseeable “black swan” flood on the Chicago River. The CME trade was directional call credit spread and not a neutral iron condor and, even though it was a loser, I like the idea of moving gunslingers away from iron condors and towards directional bets with positive seasonality. The neutral iron condors have no statistical “edge”, whereas seasonality provides an edge, so gunslingers with an edge are more appealing to me. Even with a seasonality edge, however, gunslingers are short-term gambling and are for entertainment purposes only.
The “Growth” portfolio remains a small after-thought, but I hope to add more LEAP calls later this year — no later than the start of the bullish October-April period. I thought about converting Linn Energy (LINE) into a LEAP call and transferring the position from Conservative Income to Growth, but it’s a troubled, debt-laden energy company that would have added no industry-sector diversification to the Growth portfolio’s current energy focus.
The “Downside Protection Hedges” Portfolio has 21 winners and only 15 losers but rate of return remains negative at -12.73%. Losing on hedges is okay, since hedges are like homeowners insurance – something you pay for but hope you’ll never need to cash in because nobody wants their house to burn down. Furthermore, total loss on hedges on a per-contract basis was only -$3,021, which amounts to only 1.1 percent of invested cash of $275,981. I think that paying 1.1 percent of assets for some downside “peace of mind” is well worth the cost. With the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrials continuing to hit all-time highs through late-May and the small-cap Russell 2000 through late June, bearish hedge trades aren’t expected to be winners. The fact that recent downside hedges such as Best Buy and Lululemon Athletica expired profitably may be a signal that the overall market is beginning to stall. This is definitely not the time to give up on hedges and a 10% stock-market correction sometime in the second half 2015 is highly likely.
The OFI rate of return would have been higher in four “alternative reality” scenarios:
(1) No Apple trade No. 1 (naked put);
(2) No gunslinger trades;
(3) Only “Conservative Income” portfolio trades,
(4) Only “Conservative Income” portfolio trades but without Apple trade No. 1.
Scenario |
1520-Day Rate of Return: 4/21/11 to 6/19/15 |
1520-Day Rate of Return Including Cash Reinvestment |
Average Trade Duration in Days |
Win Rate |
OFI Portfolio |
10.40% |
114.48% |
138 |
84.68% |
No Apple Trade No. 1 |
11.40% |
125.36% |
138 |
84.64% |
No Gunslingers |
12.01% |
119.90% |
152 |
86.90% |
Only Conservative Income Trades |
14.96% |
174.60% |
130 |
91.14% |
Only Conservative Income Trades Without Apple Trade No. 1 |
17.11% |
199.45% |
130 |
91.11% |
Gunslingers |
-5.40% |
-1908.84% |
4 |
63.64% |
Downside Protection Hedges |
-12.73% |
-118.56% |
163 |
58.33% |