9/27/11: Welcome to Australian Edge
Welcome to Australian Edge. Our goal is to identify high-quality businesses capable of sustaining and growing dividends and building wealth for investors over the long term. To that end the Australian Edge Portfolio represents a cross-section of this redoubt of the developed world, which, along with Canada, is enjoying the benefits of responsible management of natural resources.
To all too many investors Australia is a natural resource story, period. To some extent that’s true. All Australian stocks are priced in and pay dividends in Australian dollars. And the Aussie dollar’s exchange value versus the US dollar and other major currencies has historically risen and fallen with commodity prices.
That’s pretty much where the similarity ends, however. In fact, leaving out the currency connection for foreigners, there’s as much variety in the Australian stock market as there is anywhere in the world.
Many businesses that don’t actually produce commodities do have some connection to the natural resource economy. Pipeline companies, for example, earn fees for transporting energy. Big banks make loans and provide financial services to resource producers. Even real estate companies’ earnings depend on property values that may be tied to the sector, particularly in little urbanized, resource-rich areas such as Queensland.
For investors, however, the primary distinction between companies is the degree to which natural resource prices directly impact earnings. A producer of coal, for example, will see profits rise and fall with the price of coal. A rail transporter of coal, however, will still get paid a fee by the producer. Their earnings are stable, regardless of what the price of coal is.
That’s in essence how we’ve divided the charter members of the Australian Edge Portfolio. Our Aggressive Holdings are all bets to some extent on the great Australian natural resource story. They’re set to win from both surging Asian demand for what they produce, and the higher commodity prices that go along with it. The trade off is greater volatility that comes with having earnings heavily affected by commodity prices.
Our Conservative Holdings are also set to profit from inexorably rising demand for Australia’s natural resources. The key difference is they make their money no matter whether commodity prices are rising or falling.
Their growth comes from expansion of their business infrastructure. The more they’re able to add and lock in revenue for, the more money they’re going to earn–and the higher they can increase their dividends. And that’s exactly what we see for each of these five companies in the years ahead.
Click here to read more about the Australian Edge Portfolio.
Again, welcome to Australian Edge, and thank you for reading. We look forward to many years of building wealth together in the Land Down Under.
Stock Talk
Galen Fahnestock
I have not received the Special Report since I signed up for
Awesome Australia one of the two special reports since I
subscribed on January 29, 2012.
David Dittman
Dear Mr. Fahnestock,
I’ll check in with our Subscriber Services folks on this issue. In the meantime, the reports are available on the website.
Thank you for reading, and please let me know if you’re unable to access the reports via the website.
Best regards,
David
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Jack
I’m back, David. Have been watching APA Group. It dipped under $5 today. I am ready to add it to my portfolio, but wanted to get your current opinion on what might be happening with the stock price this week.
David Dittman
Hi Mr. Bartz,
APA Group is down big because Petronas, Malaysia’s state-owned energy company, and prior to this move APA’s biggest shareholder, is selling its roughly 17 percent stake in the company; this represents about 111 million shares, and the sale is said to have gone off at about AUD4.85 per. The market price is backing up to reflect this action. Petronas, which had been a shareholder since at least 2009, when APA traded below AUD3 (it came public in 2010), has been unloading minority stakes in recent months, including a 9 percent block of UK-focused gas supplier Centrica and 15 percent of oil and gas producer Cairn India.
This changes nothing with regard to our fundamental view of APA. APA remains Australia’s biggest pipeline operator, with lines in every state Down Under, and is the country’s largest gas supplier. It’s a reliable cash flow and dividend grower. This is a nice opportunity to lock in a 7 percent yield.
Great to hear from you, and a great question.
Best regards,
David
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Jack
Thanks, David. I will go for it today. Please call me Jack.
David Dittman
Will do, Jack. APA did close higher on the ASX today, a nice positive.
Always great to hear from you.
All best,
David
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Susko
Hi Mr. David Dittman: I looked over the eight stocks. Although I think getting the eight stocks is the way to go
but for now I just bought two stocks in your group: RIO and CHK ast starters. To me it is exciting to be connected to a group interested in Austrailian Stocks. Your friend . M. Susko
David Dittman
Hi Mr. Susko,
Thanks for reading AE, and thanks for writing. We’re happy you’re along for what we think will be a long and profitable ride.
Best regards,
David
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