Sell to close the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) June 76 put option, at the market price. My oil indicator has improved, no longer warranting betting against oil stocks. I recommend selling to close the option and wait for other opportunities. Read More
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The holding pattern in which the market appears stuck, referenced last week, remains in effect. Investors await details on a possible resolution to the confrontation between the Greek Tsipras government and its creditors that would avoid the country’s expulsion from the euro. Current thinking: Greece could tomorrow announce that it… Read More
Crude oil is taking a breather today, but has staged an impressive rally so far this month. The market, however, has gotten ahead of itself and chances are that oil will retreat once more as U.S. crude inventories will continue to rise in the next few months and OPEC sticks… Read More
Average Annualized Return Per Closed Trade: 32.3% Average Return Per Closed Trade: 19.0% Average Holding Period: 226 days West Texas Intermediate crude has run above $50 after a rollercoaster week in the oil market. News of increased violence in Libya (potentially a threat to the country’s oil supply), a cut in bank reserve ratio requirements by the People’s Bank of China (expected to boost Chinese oil demand), and a slightly improved economic growth outlook in the euro zone (likewise, a demand boost) all buoyed oil prices yesterday, while a good U.S. jobs report today kept the arrow pointed north. Read More
Stocks are rising for a second consecutive day today, despite more weak economic news. Factory orders in December fell 3.4 percent, compared to expectations for a decline of 2.2 percent. Likewise, durable goods orders declined 3.3 percent in December, slightly below expectations. If you strip out the volatile defense and… Read More
The mixed economic data of late has held stocks within a fairly tight trading range so far this year. We don’t expect much near-term movement in the stock market in either direction and are awaiting another good trading opportunity. Last Wednesday we added the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE)… Read More
Average Annualized Return Per Closed Trade: 32.3% Average Return Per Closed Trade: 19.0% Average Holding Period: 226 days The Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) held its first policy-meeting of 2015 this week under, as usual, market participants’ watchful eyes. Heading into the FOMC confab, investors… Read More
Buy to open the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) June 76 put option, at the market price. We have no doubt oil prices will come off the current levels eventually, but our oil indicator suggests that in the ensuing days energy stocks will likely remain under pressure. We recommend… Read More
While snow blankets much of the East Coast today, and continues to fall furiously, Wall Street is open for business as usual. Despite the pleasant white coating on the streets outside of offices in lower Manhattan, however, investors see the color red splashed across their computer screens. Weak U.S. economic… Read More
Our stock market indicators remain negative, although not excessively so. Additional selling is quite possible, but given the current backdrop, the decline is likely to be rather shallow. Be ready to trade on our signal. We made a quick 5 percent gain in just two trading days with the SPDR… Read More