The title of our last update proclaimed that “Future Good News is Apt to be Less Well Received.” It didn’t take long for that call to ring true. Last Thursday the Bureau of Labor Statistics released a beauty of an employment report, with 288,000 non-farm payrolls created in June and… Read More
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Negative readings from our stock market indicators prompted us to recommend the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) October 195 put option yesterday. The trade is off to a good start, giving us a double-digit return already. The option is trading above our limit price, so new traders will have to stand… Read More
Buy to open the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) October 195 put option. Use a limit order to pay no more than $4.25 per contract. Stocks, which were overbought heading into today’s trading, are under a bit of pressure this morning—pressure that’s likely to persist for a while judging by… Read More
As tomorrow is Independence Day, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) unveiled June employment numbers one day early today. Yesterday’s separate employment report from payrolls processor ADP, generally regarded as a preview of the official government numbers, indicated that June had been a strong month, and the BLS figures did… Read More
The first half of 2014 was a fruitful one for investors, with stocks, bonds and commodities all generating solid returns. Returns in the second half are likely to be more modest, but we’re getting off on the right foot, aided by generally favorable U.S. economic reports. Weekly… Read More
The S&P 500, now around 1970, may have enough momentum behind it to make a run to 2000 in the short term, but the risk of at least a modest correction is growing. The blue chip index is considerably overbought trading nearly 8 percent above its 200-day moving average and… Read More
We found out this week that the unusually long and cold winter’s impact on the economy was much worse than originally estimated. The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported in its third and final first-quarter real GDP estimate that it contracted 2.9 percent. As more data has rolled in,… Read More
Sell to close the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) October 117 put option at the market price. Small-cap stocks have acted better than expected. Rather than carrying the option over the weekend, we recommend closing the option at this time and limiting the loss on the trade. There will… Read More
Buy to open the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) October 117 put option. Use a limit order to pay no more than $5.15. Our stock indicator has become decidedly bearish and our VIX indicator also suggests that we will likely see a continued increase in market volatility in the… Read More
As we’ve written often in recent updates, the market just does not want to correct or post a meaningful decline. Far from it. Last week, the S&P 500 closed at a new record high. Market technicals, however, remain similar to those we’ve observed in the past several weeks—stocks are moving… Read More