Stocks continue to bounce back from their recent slump, with the S&P 500 climbing above 1800 this morning. Stocks have recouped more than half of their recent losses and the S&P is back up to its 50-day moving average. The recent gains come amid firming emerging market currencies and decent… Read More
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Analyst Articles
Yesterday we closed out the margined position in the PowerShares DB Base Metals ETF (DBB) at a modest loss. Prompting the move was a downturn in our copper model, which will likely mean weakness in zinc as well. You’ll recall that copper and zinc comprise two-third of DBB’s assets. We… Read More
Sell PowerShares DB Base Metals ETF (DBB). Buy to open the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) June 112 call option. Use a limit order to pay no more than $0.90 per contract. Our proprietary copper indicator is bearish, suggesting price pressure in the near term. We therefore recommend… Read More
We are buying an approximate 6 percent position in Republic Services (RSG). Billionaire Bill Gates still owns about 358 million shares of his creation, Microsoft. The stake is worth approximately $13 billion. That’s a lot of money to be sure, but it’s really only a small chunk of his estimated net worth of $80 billion (although he has given away billions of dollars via his charitable foundation). Gates actually holds most of his wealth in Cascade Investment, the private investment company he founded in 1994. It has made him richer and richer each year. Thanks to Michael Larson, Gates’ handpicked fund manager, last year Gates’ investment gains totaled roughly $16 billion. Read More
For the second straight month, the pace of hiring disappointed. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), while the headline unemployment rate fell to 6.6 percent in January, the U.S. added only a net 113,000 jobs, well below consensus expectations for an approximate gain of 180,000. The BLS revised… Read More
We are buying an approximate 6 percent position in Exelis (XLS) Atlanta-based Shapiro Capital Management, with approximately $3.5 billion under management, may not be a household name, but it has amassed quite a solid track record. With a mid-cap and small-cap focus, Shapiro has outperformed the Russell 2000 by about… Read More
Fears of more capital outflows from emerging market sent stocks sharply lower yesterday. By the closing bell the benchmark S&P 500 was off about 6 percent from its high and back to where it stood in October. Bargain hunters have stepped in today seeking opportunities among battered stocks. Yet the… Read More
Worries about where the global economy is headed have speculators pressing ahead with bearish bets on certain industrial metals. Copper, for instance, is off 6 percent year to date, zinc is down almost as much. Yet other industrial commodities that largely aren’t subject to speculation have preformed much better. As… Read More
The major U.S. stock indices S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average will book their first monthly loss since last August. Today, soft Europe data added to global growth concerns. According to Eurostat, in January consumer price levels in the euro zone grew just 0.7 percent year-over-year, the fourth consecutive… Read More
We’ve been expecting an increase in market volatility in recent weeks, most likely by way of a correction in share prices. And sure enough, we got it. The pullback in stocks has actually been quite modest, but it has been so long since we’ve had a correction that many traders… Read More