Sector Inspector
Even self-directed equity investors occasionally want to avoid the hardcore analysis necessary to divine undervalued stocks. So instead of trying to identify individual names, why not buy the whole sector? Of course, it’s still important to determine which sectors present the best opportunities for value investors
With that in mind, I used Morningstar’s Premium Fund Screener to find the top-performing, value-oriented funds and then learn which sectors they overweight. I had the somewhat unreasonable hope of finding funds that have performed well over both short- and long-term periods, while incurring less risk than the market.
So I screened for funds that beat the market over the one-year, three-year, five-year and 10-year trailing time periods. With regard to volatility, Morningstar’s screener limits that criterion to the trailing three-year period, so my search specified those funds with lower standard deviations than the market over that period. Finally, a seasoned management team is key for actively managed funds, so my criteria ruled out any funds whose managers did not have at least five years at the helm.
Three income-oriented, large-cap value funds fulfilled these stringent criteria: Columbia Dividend Opportunity (INUTX), Rochdale Dividend & Income (RIMHX), and SunAmerica Focused Dividend Strategy (FDSAX). For those interested in investing in the funds themselves, it should be noted that only the Rochdale fund is available to retail investors as a no-load fund. For a more detailed analysis of this fund, please refer to my profile of the fund that ran in our May issue. Despite their compelling performance data, the other two funds sport 5.75 percent sales loads, which is a major hurdle to overcome.
With this subset, I then examined each fund’s portfolio to see if there was a consensus on overweight sectors relative to their category peers. There were actually two sectors for which all three funds were overweight for their category: consumer staples and basic materials.
For those who are nevertheless interested in individual stock picking, all three funds held the following stocks in common for these two sectors: Altria (NYSE: MO), DuPont (NYSE: DD), Kraft (NSDQ: KFT), Lorillard (NYSE: LO), Philip Morris International (NYSE: PM), Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG), and Reynolds American (NYSE: RAI).
But for those interested in simply buying the whole sector, Fidelity’s Select funds appear to be the best bet. While there are numerous sector-specific exchange-traded funds (ETF), I tend to favor active management, particularly for a fund that’s narrowly focused on one sector. That’s because such funds can incur greater volatility than a fund that’s diversified across sectors, and an experienced fund manager can help mitigate that risk.
In the past, Fidelity’s Select funds were used as a training ground to groom the rising stars from the fund giant’s analyst team. That could lead to fairly lumpy performance due to inexperience coupled with management turnover, as fund managers who proved their mettle at a Select fund could soon garner a more coveted position running money at a larger, diversified fund. In the middle of the last decade after some of its equity funds had posted several years of middling returns, Fidelity pursued a massive reorganization, which included creating a career path where sector specialists could shine at its Select funds without necessarily jockeying for a position at a larger fund.
Both Fidelity Select Consumer Staples (FDFAX) and Fidelity Select Materials (FSDPX) have experienced fund managers who’ve been at the helm for eight-plus years and four-plus years, respectively. The Consumer Staples fund has outperformed the broad market by 3.7 percentage points annualized over the past 10 years, while the Materials fund trounced the market by 7 percentage points annualized over that same period.
As might be expected, the Consumer Staples fund achieved its performance with considerably less volatility than the broad market. Although the Materials fund was significantly more volatile than the broad market, its total returns were high enough that it beat the market by a similarly wide margin on a risk-adjusted basis.
Both funds have produced stellar returns, but their individual sector focus means investors should allocate substantially less to each than they would to a more diversified fund.
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