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Kent
Re: Current Issue
Guys – Unless there is something wrong with my Mac the following pages are strange:
Pp4 Only has 1 line, rest of page blank
Pp5 Completely blank
Pp 7 – Two small paragraphs with aprox 80% of the page blank
Pp 8 – completely blank
Thanks,
Kent
Igor Greenwald
I’m not sure what happened with the two blank pages, but in general our automatic PDF creation program seems to have had trouble with the large graphics of performance tables for 2015. (Maybe it didn’t like the results either.) In all seriousness, apologies for the clumsy layout. I can confirm that all of the content is there, however, and I’ll ask our technical people to look into this.
In one of your emailed newsletter Robert quoted from an interview with the fund manager of AMZA (Infra Cap MLP ETF). AMZA is currently yielding 18%. How sustainable is that in your view? Would yo recommend to buy it?
Igor Greenwald
Not sure why you’d want to pay a 2.7% expense ratio for a fund that has substantially underperformed the Alerian while holding mainly plain vanilla MLPs you’be be better off owning directly, especially in a taxable account.
“But there are grave doubts as to whether that acquisition will go through, and TerraForm will be be an immediate winner if it doesn’t. But even if it does, the current discount looks excessive for the added risk especially given the long-term likelihood of a new affiliation with a healthier project developer than SunEdison. We’re adding TerraForm Power to the Aggressive Portfolio. Buy TERP below $10”
Can you comment on SUNE? Since the blanket HOLD that took SUNE off the BUY list and the recent drop to below $2 and now the BUY /TERP. Seems/humbly SUNE will be the bigger winner. SUNE/Good gamble or Bad gamble in your opinion? Best Regards
Igor Greenwald
I’m sorry I’m catching up with this late. SUNE is the highest risk portfolio position here at this point. The upside, as you note, is great, but the downside of being the weakest party in every business negotiation is certainly weighing heavily on the stock right now. The company needs to start delivering the promised cash flow over the next year or it will have no future.
Gentlemen, your thoughts on MPLX.
MPC is a very strong GP, and 12% to 15% distribution growth seems attractive. But, was the acquisition, in retrospect, meaningfully accretive going forward.
As always, your insights are appreciated.
Charles Torrey
I should have mentioned that I was considering trading in my GLP and OKS shares for MPLX shares. That is the basis for my query.
Many Thanks
Charles Torrey
Igor Greenwald
Sorry I’m late responding to this, Charles. Been under the weather lately and then needed some time to make sense of MPLX;s reduced dividend growth guidance. Units have obviously recovered a lot of their losses on that news, but while the yield is more attractive than it used to be I’m not sold on it right now. The MWE side has great growth prospects, but they reward for unitholders has been significantly diluted by MPLX share issuance to do the deal, and its effect on Marathon’s incentive distribution rights. The fact that Marathon now needs to support the MLP with lower-cost dropdowns for equity offsets some of the IDR leakage, but not enough for me to recommend it.
Hi, I just subscribed based on the promos for solar, one of which (today) said there will be a “shareholder bonus” about to be issued by one of the recommendations for thousands of dollars, however, I don’t see anything in the materials discussing this. What is the special bonus? Thanks
Robert Rapier
I was just scanning through to make sure no questions had slipped through the cracks, and saw this one. Hopefully you found the special reports, which are under the Resources tab above. The special report on solar is there: http://www.investingdaily.com/energy-strategist/special-reports/
Can individual investors buy bonds of ETE? I read they are yielding more than 10% right now. Wouldn´t that be a good idea for those who can´t afford a distribution cut? Is there what you´d call preferred stock if ETE wasn´t a MLP? If so, what are they yielding?
Igor Greenwald
ETE hasn’t issued preferred stock, and I would recommend that individual investors stay away from bonds other than in funds. You will not get a good price buying or selling, and liquidity is likely to be lacking when you need it most. I doubt ETE cuts its distribution, but in any case itsn’t not the distribution at any given point in time but rather the long-term business prospects that will define the partnership’s value in the long run. With 16%+ yielding equity, even if the distribution’s cut you have a stake in cash flow that should grow over the long haul. With bonds, there’s much less upside, and admittedly less downside as well.
You may well be right. However, I was interested in buying the bond for my mom´s portfolio. She is 86 (which is why she would object to buying MLPs and stocks anyway) and resident in Germany, where taxation makes MLP´s unattractive. So I thought ETE´s bond would suit her risk “appetite” as well as her tax situation better. If you advise against buying an individual bond, are there any funds focusing on MLP bonds or preferred stock?
Igor Greenwald
I don’t know of any funds specializing in MLP bonds, but if you can get a 10% yield on an ETE bond that sounds like a good deal to me, other than for the generic concerns I’ve shared.
What do you make out the the NYT report that ETE is considering to walk away from the merger with Williams? Would that make ETE or WMB look more attractive?
Igor Greenwald
I mentioned it in last week’s portfolio update: http://www.investingdaily.com/energy-strategist/articles/24749/why-oils-more-popular-than-ever/ The next day CNBC’s David Faber said his sources denied anyone ever considered paying WMB the $2 billion breakup fee. Like the prior trial balloon about ETE endorsing the original merger terms at any moment for a mont now, it seems like intramural posturing best ignored as we wait for a deal that’s very likely to go through despite everything, in my opinion.
Stock Talk
Kent
Re: Current Issue
Guys – Unless there is something wrong with my Mac the following pages are strange:
Pp4 Only has 1 line, rest of page blank
Pp5 Completely blank
Pp 7 – Two small paragraphs with aprox 80% of the page blank
Pp 8 – completely blank
Thanks,
Kent
Igor Greenwald
I’m not sure what happened with the two blank pages, but in general our automatic PDF creation program seems to have had trouble with the large graphics of performance tables for 2015. (Maybe it didn’t like the results either.) In all seriousness, apologies for the clumsy layout. I can confirm that all of the content is there, however, and I’ll ask our technical people to look into this.
You must be logged in to post to Stock Talk OR create an account
You must be logged in to post to Stock Talk OR create an account
Peter
In one of your emailed newsletter Robert quoted from an interview with the fund manager of AMZA (Infra Cap MLP ETF). AMZA is currently yielding 18%. How sustainable is that in your view? Would yo recommend to buy it?
Igor Greenwald
Not sure why you’d want to pay a 2.7% expense ratio for a fund that has substantially underperformed the Alerian while holding mainly plain vanilla MLPs you’be be better off owning directly, especially in a taxable account.
You must be logged in to post to Stock Talk OR create an account
You must be logged in to post to Stock Talk OR create an account
Bill Carr
Your thoughts on LGCY. I know upstream is out of favor, but they are a low cost operator. Also, their cumulative preferred look intersting.
Igor Greenwald
Just No. Please do yourself a favor and stay away.
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C. Fisher
“But there are grave doubts as to whether that acquisition will go through, and TerraForm will be be an immediate winner if it doesn’t. But even if it does, the current discount looks excessive for the added risk especially given the long-term likelihood of a new affiliation with a healthier project developer than SunEdison. We’re adding TerraForm Power to the Aggressive Portfolio. Buy TERP below $10”
Can you comment on SUNE? Since the blanket HOLD that took SUNE off the BUY list and the recent drop to below $2 and now the BUY /TERP. Seems/humbly SUNE will be the bigger winner. SUNE/Good gamble or Bad gamble in your opinion? Best Regards
Igor Greenwald
I’m sorry I’m catching up with this late. SUNE is the highest risk portfolio position here at this point. The upside, as you note, is great, but the downside of being the weakest party in every business negotiation is certainly weighing heavily on the stock right now. The company needs to start delivering the promised cash flow over the next year or it will have no future.
You must be logged in to post to Stock Talk OR create an account
You must be logged in to post to Stock Talk OR create an account
Charles Torrey
Gentlemen, your thoughts on MPLX.
MPC is a very strong GP, and 12% to 15% distribution growth seems attractive. But, was the acquisition, in retrospect, meaningfully accretive going forward.
As always, your insights are appreciated.
Charles Torrey
You must be logged in to post to Stock Talk OR create an account
Charles Torrey
I should have mentioned that I was considering trading in my GLP and OKS shares for MPLX shares. That is the basis for my query.
Many Thanks
Charles Torrey
Igor Greenwald
Sorry I’m late responding to this, Charles. Been under the weather lately and then needed some time to make sense of MPLX;s reduced dividend growth guidance. Units have obviously recovered a lot of their losses on that news, but while the yield is more attractive than it used to be I’m not sold on it right now. The MWE side has great growth prospects, but they reward for unitholders has been significantly diluted by MPLX share issuance to do the deal, and its effect on Marathon’s incentive distribution rights. The fact that Marathon now needs to support the MLP with lower-cost dropdowns for equity offsets some of the IDR leakage, but not enough for me to recommend it.
You must be logged in to post to Stock Talk OR create an account
You must be logged in to post to Stock Talk OR create an account
JBM
Hi, I just subscribed based on the promos for solar, one of which (today) said there will be a “shareholder bonus” about to be issued by one of the recommendations for thousands of dollars, however, I don’t see anything in the materials discussing this. What is the special bonus? Thanks
Robert Rapier
I was just scanning through to make sure no questions had slipped through the cracks, and saw this one. Hopefully you found the special reports, which are under the Resources tab above. The special report on solar is there: http://www.investingdaily.com/energy-strategist/special-reports/
You must be logged in to post to Stock Talk OR create an account
You must be logged in to post to Stock Talk OR create an account
Peter
Can individual investors buy bonds of ETE? I read they are yielding more than 10% right now. Wouldn´t that be a good idea for those who can´t afford a distribution cut? Is there what you´d call preferred stock if ETE wasn´t a MLP? If so, what are they yielding?
Igor Greenwald
ETE hasn’t issued preferred stock, and I would recommend that individual investors stay away from bonds other than in funds. You will not get a good price buying or selling, and liquidity is likely to be lacking when you need it most. I doubt ETE cuts its distribution, but in any case itsn’t not the distribution at any given point in time but rather the long-term business prospects that will define the partnership’s value in the long run. With 16%+ yielding equity, even if the distribution’s cut you have a stake in cash flow that should grow over the long haul. With bonds, there’s much less upside, and admittedly less downside as well.
You must be logged in to post to Stock Talk OR create an account
Peter
You may well be right. However, I was interested in buying the bond for my mom´s portfolio. She is 86 (which is why she would object to buying MLPs and stocks anyway) and resident in Germany, where taxation makes MLP´s unattractive. So I thought ETE´s bond would suit her risk “appetite” as well as her tax situation better. If you advise against buying an individual bond, are there any funds focusing on MLP bonds or preferred stock?
Igor Greenwald
I don’t know of any funds specializing in MLP bonds, but if you can get a 10% yield on an ETE bond that sounds like a good deal to me, other than for the generic concerns I’ve shared.
You must be logged in to post to Stock Talk OR create an account
You must be logged in to post to Stock Talk OR create an account
You must be logged in to post to Stock Talk OR create an account
Peter
What do you make out the the NYT report that ETE is considering to walk away from the merger with Williams? Would that make ETE or WMB look more attractive?
Igor Greenwald
I mentioned it in last week’s portfolio update: http://www.investingdaily.com/energy-strategist/articles/24749/why-oils-more-popular-than-ever/ The next day CNBC’s David Faber said his sources denied anyone ever considered paying WMB the $2 billion breakup fee. Like the prior trial balloon about ETE endorsing the original merger terms at any moment for a mont now, it seems like intramural posturing best ignored as we wait for a deal that’s very likely to go through despite everything, in my opinion.
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