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Peter
I read that ETE had temporarily relinquished some of it´s incentive distribution rights. Why did they do that, for how long and what will be the effect on distributions once they´ll be reinstated? Or are they already?
Gentlemen, excellent session yesterday. I forgot to ask for your thoughts on the safety of ETPs distribution given their latest quarters financial reporting.
Many Thanks
Charles Torrey
Gentlemen, excellent session yesterday. I forgot to ask for your thoughts on the safety of ETPs distribution given their latest quarters financial reporting.
Many Thanks,
Charles Torrey
Have either of you written about a combination of helium and hydrogen that could eventually “take the place” of fossil fuels?
Robert Rapier
No. In fact, almost all hydrogen is made from natural gas to begin with, and helium itself isn’t an energy source. It has no energy value inherently. You would have to compress it to get energy out of it.
Big fans of your work. I have 3 questions for you:
1.) It appears to me from reading news articles that Saudi Arabia is highly unlikely to cut in December unless Russia also agrees to cut, which Russia has consistently stated that it is not going to do. Therefore, I believe a cut is unlikely. What are your thoughts?
2.) Assuming we stay in this type of low oil environment, what is the outlook for the Gulf of Mexico? My understanding is that the GoM producers actually have lower marginal costs than shale, but given the efficiency improvements that Shale is making, is this still the case? I noted that COP recently pulled out of the GoM to focus exclusively on shale, and I’m wondering if other oil majors might follow suit.
3.) I was actually taking a look at WPX before subscribing to this site because I noted there had been a lot of insider buying and I like their CEO. What are your thoughts about the assets that they recently purchased in the Permian, and do you have any concerns about their debt levels?
Thanks!
Robert Rapier
Hi Sam,
I think you are correct, that Saudi is unlikely to cut. But they have a near mutiny within OPEC at the moment. If they don’t cut, then expect another 6 months of $40 oil. But even if they don’t cut, you can see supply and demand tightening on the horizon.
I don’t like the outlook for deepwater GoM, but I also don’t think offshore in general is going to be able to compete with shale. At low oil prices, you can drill a shale well and cap it. In the Gulf, you have a lot of infrastructure to support that well. You don’t have the same kind of flexibility.
WPX is pretty solid, and I think Permian producers in general will be in better shape than most. They aren’t particularly leveraged, so I think WPX is a pretty good bet. They always score well when I do a stock screen.
Would you please comment on your recently recommended put buys on MPC and VLO? The stocks do not seem to be performing as projected. Should those who bought these puts continue to hold?
I’d also like to ask you to comment on SUNE. From the look of the chart one might surmise that the company is going bankrupt, yet it is rated as the #10 Best Buy in the portfolios. What is your assessment of that situation?
Robert Rapier
Ken,
See my response below on SUNE. While the trade was solidly in the black for a while, it was ultimately a terrible trade.
Part of the issue with the refiners is that energy investors don’t have a better place to put their money. But refiners are really overextended in my opinion. Their bull market is going to get derailed as oil prices recover. The challenge is trying to not only pick the bottom on oil prices, but the timing on a recovery. It’s going to depend a lot on what OPEC decides in 2 weeks. If they maintain the course, the oil prices recovery is going to take a few more months and refiners might not yet have to pay the piper. But when oil prices do, you will see refiners pull back as they give their margins back to oil producers.
Stock Talk
Peter
I read that ETE had temporarily relinquished some of it´s incentive distribution rights. Why did they do that, for how long and what will be the effect on distributions once they´ll be reinstated? Or are they already?
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Charles Torrey
Gentlemen, excellent session yesterday. I forgot to ask for your thoughts on the safety of ETPs distribution given their latest quarters financial reporting.
Many Thanks
Charles Torrey
You must be logged in to post to Stock Talk OR create an account
Charles Torrey
Gentlemen, excellent session yesterday. I forgot to ask for your thoughts on the safety of ETPs distribution given their latest quarters financial reporting.
Many Thanks,
Charles Torrey
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Michael Messinger
Have either of you written about a combination of helium and hydrogen that could eventually “take the place” of fossil fuels?
Robert Rapier
No. In fact, almost all hydrogen is made from natural gas to begin with, and helium itself isn’t an energy source. It has no energy value inherently. You would have to compress it to get energy out of it.
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Peter
What´s your take on those companies which are in the business of storing oil and are offering hugh yields (like HEP, WPT, NS)?
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Sam
Hello Robert and Igor –
Big fans of your work. I have 3 questions for you:
1.) It appears to me from reading news articles that Saudi Arabia is highly unlikely to cut in December unless Russia also agrees to cut, which Russia has consistently stated that it is not going to do. Therefore, I believe a cut is unlikely. What are your thoughts?
2.) Assuming we stay in this type of low oil environment, what is the outlook for the Gulf of Mexico? My understanding is that the GoM producers actually have lower marginal costs than shale, but given the efficiency improvements that Shale is making, is this still the case? I noted that COP recently pulled out of the GoM to focus exclusively on shale, and I’m wondering if other oil majors might follow suit.
3.) I was actually taking a look at WPX before subscribing to this site because I noted there had been a lot of insider buying and I like their CEO. What are your thoughts about the assets that they recently purchased in the Permian, and do you have any concerns about their debt levels?
Thanks!
Robert Rapier
Hi Sam,
I think you are correct, that Saudi is unlikely to cut. But they have a near mutiny within OPEC at the moment. If they don’t cut, then expect another 6 months of $40 oil. But even if they don’t cut, you can see supply and demand tightening on the horizon.
I don’t like the outlook for deepwater GoM, but I also don’t think offshore in general is going to be able to compete with shale. At low oil prices, you can drill a shale well and cap it. In the Gulf, you have a lot of infrastructure to support that well. You don’t have the same kind of flexibility.
WPX is pretty solid, and I think Permian producers in general will be in better shape than most. They aren’t particularly leveraged, so I think WPX is a pretty good bet. They always score well when I do a stock screen.
Cheers, Robert
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Ken S.
Would you please comment on your recently recommended put buys on MPC and VLO? The stocks do not seem to be performing as projected. Should those who bought these puts continue to hold?
I’d also like to ask you to comment on SUNE. From the look of the chart one might surmise that the company is going bankrupt, yet it is rated as the #10 Best Buy in the portfolios. What is your assessment of that situation?
Robert Rapier
Ken,
See my response below on SUNE. While the trade was solidly in the black for a while, it was ultimately a terrible trade.
Part of the issue with the refiners is that energy investors don’t have a better place to put their money. But refiners are really overextended in my opinion. Their bull market is going to get derailed as oil prices recover. The challenge is trying to not only pick the bottom on oil prices, but the timing on a recovery. It’s going to depend a lot on what OPEC decides in 2 weeks. If they maintain the course, the oil prices recovery is going to take a few more months and refiners might not yet have to pay the piper. But when oil prices do, you will see refiners pull back as they give their margins back to oil producers.
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