Trade Alert: Pillow Talk is Cheap (BBBY)

I have to admit, I don’t understand the fixation with pillows. Walk through an open house, and it’s a safe bet that every bed will be staged with a pyramid of colorful pillows that can only interfere with actually getting a good night’s sleep. That’s bad news for those of us that have to throw all but one or two of those pillows on the floor every evening just to restack them the next morning, but good news for the companies that sell them. 

However, like for much of the retail sector, the past few years have been brutal on home furnishings retailer Bed Bath & Beyond (NasdaqGS: BBBY). The threat Amazon.com (NasdaqGS: AMZN) poses to its business model has driven its share price down about 75% since peaking near $80 in December of 2014.

The good news is, recent developments in the retail sector suggest that the worst is now behind it. This year, other traditional “bricks & mortar” retailers also presumed to be Amazon roadkill have rallied including Macy’s (+35% in one month), CVS (+18% in three months), and Tiffany (+31% in five weeks).

So why do I believe that BBBY is about to stage a similar turnaround?

From a fundamental perspective, it’s cheap. Priced at 10 times forward earnings and less than one times book value, most of the near-term risk is fully priced into the share price. Despite its recent woes, Bed Bath & Beyond still makes money with a profit margin higher than the industry average.

From a technical perspective, it’s showing signs of strength. BBBY bounced off its lower Bollinger Band in early May and crossed over its 50DMA (fifty-day moving average) two weeks ago. At the same time, its RSI (relative strength index) has crept up near its highest level this year, suggesting it is gaining share price momentum at an accelerating rate.

This trade will generate immediate income of at least $125 per contract now, with the possibility of buying Bed Bath & Beyond at a 2% discount to where it currently trades if the stock gets put to you. Investors should set aside $2,000 per contract sold to buy the stock in case the option expires in the money.

Regardless of how many contracts you sell, it’s absolutely critical that you follow the instructions below, particularly when it comes to setting the limit order.

How to Make the Trade:

  • Trade: Sell to open the August 17, 2018, $20 Put on BBBY.
  • Allocation: Sell one put for every 100 shares you would be pleased to buy at $20 per share.
  • Prices:
    • Current Stock Price: $20.35
    • Limit Order Price: a credit of $1.25 or more.
    • Tell your broker: “I want to sell a put on Bed Bath & Beyond (NasdaqGS: BBBY) stock. Specifically, I want to ‘sell to open’ one August $20 Put for a credit of $1.25 per share or more.”
  • Further Instructions Regarding the Trade:
    • If the option price changes, you can adjust our recommended limit based on the midpoint of the bid/ask spread, which you should be able to see when entering the trade. Just make sure the potential credit is at least $1.25 per share or more.
    • Place your limit order on a “good ‘til canceled” (GTC) basis and be patient.

The Win-Win Situation: 

For every put contract you sell, you will collect at least $125 that’s yours to keep no matter what happens in the future.

If the put expires worthless, meaning the stock price is above $20 per share at expiration, then we’ll do another trade to create another instant payment.

If the stock is trading at or below the strike price upon the contract’s expiration, then you’ll be buying BBBY at a 2% discount to the current market price, while locking in a yield of 3.3% — plus the premium you pocketed when you sold the put.

Then we’ll collect the dividend while creating more instant payments by selling covered calls against the stock.

Stock Talk

Victor

Victor

Filled @ 1.30 on Ally

Joseph Lipari

Joseph Lipari

1.37 ET

JL

JL

Filled at $1.35, Etrade.

Jeff L.

Jeff L.

Sell to open Aug 17 put for 1.37

Cyan

Cyan

Filled in for 1.33

Thank you.

ETKTRIDE

ETKTRIDE

BBBY – STO filled at $1.35 (IB)

Jeffrey J

Jeffrey J

Filled @ $1.36 at Fidelity.

Jeffrey Y

Jeffrey Y

Filled at 1.36 too

Draco Visor

Draco Visor

Good day to trade this stock. I took a shot and got filled at 1.50, and even that seems to have been conservative. Nice Credit, now we are really making some money!

Daniel Long

Daniel Long

BBBY STO Aug 17 P20 @ 1.49 @ Fidelity.
DL

Steve K

Steve K

Filled @ $1.46

Mark F

Mark F

Filled @ 1.50

Chiyeh Yu

Chiyeh Yu

As for BBBY, its closed price on Jun 22 was $20.07, so it seems not that far away to the strike price, does it?

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

That is correct and is why the premium is relatively large. In this case, I believe that BBBY will bounce back up to the low/mid-20s by the time the expiration date comes around. If not, then I’m okay owning this stock at $20 (minus the option premium) against which to write covered calls in the future.

George McMillion

George McMillion

Filled @ $1.38 on TDA

Stanley

Stanley

BBBY filled for $1.30 on 6/22

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

Mixed quarterly results out of BBBY last night. The good news is the company reported EPS a penny higher than expected, but that was offset by a decline in same-store sales: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bed-bath-beyond-inc-reports-201500620.html. The stock is trading down near $19 this morning, my guess is it will gradually recover towards $20 over the next week or two once the initial round of selling is over. This option expires in seven weeks, so there is plenty of time for it to get back above its $20 strike price.

Ray W

Ray Wojciechowski

Hi! Jim. Thanks for your response on BPL. I know we still have a few days but are you planning on doing a trade for BBBY or are you comfortable having the stock put to us if it doesn’t rise prior to expiration ? Ray

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

I’m fine with having the stock to put to us if that’s what happens. If it does, then I’ll wait for it bounce back near $20 and write a covered call, similar to what we did with SEP (and may do soon with BPL). It’s the annualized cash flow from the options premiums that makes this strategy work, not the share price appreciation so a little volatility is actually a good thing since that tends to drive up the implied volatility of the options.

Stanley

Stanley

Hi Jim
BBBY do you have a particular day of the week that you generally issue alerts.
If the price of BBBY remains the same I suspect you will issue an alert for a covered call.
Thanks

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

Alerts to open new positions are normally issued on Friday, while alerts to close out positions are issued as circumstances warrant. As for BBBY (and the other options expiring at the end of this week), I will issue an alert on Friday regarding all those positions. In the specific case of BBBY, I will not write a covered call until its share price gets closer to $20 so we can break even on the strike price and make money on the options premiums and dividends (if any), so it may be a few weeks before that happens (similar to what we did with SEP).

Stanley

Stanley

thank you

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

BBBY released Q2 results that came in well below analysts estimates (https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bed-bath-beyond-posts-surprise-202221102.html). Its share price is down 15% in after-market trading today. Needless to say, now is not an opportune time to write a covered call against it. However, I will issue further guidance later this week once we see where the stock and options are trading once the initial flurry of algorithmic trading has subsided. I have a couple of ideas that may allow us to recoup our loss in BBBY by the end of the year but need to see the numbers first.

Mark F

Mark F

Jim,
Any thoughts/plans for BBBY ?

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

For now, I’m sticking with the plan I outlined in September (https://www.investingdaily.com/income-millionaire/articles/43448/bed-bath-beyond-an-exercise-in-damage-control/). We’ll see how it looks in mid-December when holiday sales start being reported and make a decision then.

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