Western Union Buoyed by Big Announcements

As I promised in my November Options Expiration Update two days ago, I am providing this update on Western Union (NYSE: WU) today since it is the only open short put position we have left expiring this month. It’s been a busy two days for the media relations department at Western Union, which issued a pair of major announcements that pushed its share price back above $18 this morning.

On Wednesday, the company announced that it will partner with e-commerce giant Amazon.com “to launch a new payment option that allows international shoppers to pay in person, in local currency where available, for their online purchases.” The press release went on to state that “cross-border shopping will make up 20% of e-commerce by 2022, with sales reaching $630 billion.”

The following day, Western Union released Q3 results that included an earnings beat and increased guidance for EPS for the remainder of the year. However, total revenue declined by 1% YOY (year over year), but increased 3% on a constant currency basis. Also, the company’s operating profit margin expanded to 21.8%.

I am pleased to see WU react positively to this news, but I am disappointed that the response wasn’t stronger. The partnership with Amazon is potentially a huge deal, and the quarterly report confirmed that the company’s aggressive migration towards the C2C (consumer to consumer) market is unfolding as planned.

With two weeks left until expiration, we are essentially at break-even with this trade. This morning, the bid/ask for our $19 put option was 0.75/0.90, and we sold it at a limit price of 0.80 or better. That being the case, you have two choices: buy back that option now at no gain or loss to eliminate the possibility of having the stock put to within the next two weeks, or let it ride to see if WU can get back above $19 by expiration.

Right now, my intention is to continue to hold WU in the Income Millionaire portfolio through expiration, but if it spikes up and we can buy it back at a profit then I will issue an Alert to that effect.

Complicating matters is next week’s midterm elections, which could rile the markets for a while if Wall Street is not happy with the outcome. If the stock market sells off next week then it is unlikely that WU will be able to make much headway by November 16. On the other hand, if the stock market rallies then WU could end up closing above our $19 strike price by expiration.

Stock Talk

Daniel Long

Daniel Long

So, Jim, are you recommending closure of the Nov 16 short put today (Friday)? I don’t see the trade announcement.
DL

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

I am not closing out this position in the Income Millionaire portfolio, so there is no reason for a trade alert: “Right now, my intention is to continue to hold WU in the Income Millionaire portfolio through expiration, but if it spikes up and we can buy it back at a profit then I will issue an Alert to that effect.”

I am fine with owning WU if gets put to us since it pays a nice dividend and I can then write a covered call option against it. However, for investors who do not want to have to buy WU, I am pointing out that they can close out that position now at a wash even though that is not what I am doing with the portfolio.

Daniel Long

Daniel Long

Thanks for the clarification, Jim.
I plan to stick to the portfolio advice and will hold on for further guidance.
DL

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

WU continues to creep up today, trading as high as $18.69 this morning. Our option has been trading at a bid/ask in the $0.50 – 0.40 range today, so those of you wanting to close out this position at a decent profit may want to do so now if you want to eliminate the possibility of being put the stock. I am still holding it in the portfolio, but am watching it closely and will issue an alert if I decide to close it out early.

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