Buy Puts on Lands End

Buy to open the September 16, 2016 put on Lands End (LE) with a strike price of $17.50 at $.85 or lower. Symbol (LE160916P17.5)

Lands’ End reports second quarter earnings before the market open on September 1. This trade should be placed before that event.

Lands’ End has been unable to right its ship since its April 2014 IPO when it was spun off from Sears Holdings. Revenue peaked in 2012 at $1.7 billion and has stumbled to regain its footing. Revenue for fiscal 2016 (ending January 2016) declined 9% to $1.4 billion.

First quarter revenue followed suit, dropping another 8.6%.

Estimates look for second quarter revenue to decline only 4% to $292 million. This seems unlikely based on little traction with new product lines and missteps with color choice and pricing.

Retail sales, which occur through Sears stores will continue to shrink. On top of shriveling mall traffic Sears has suffered negative comps for several years.

The number of Sears stores that Lands’ End sells into dropped from 235 to 225 in the first quarter and will likely fall further with Sears’ recent announcement of more store closures.

Product margins, which dropped more than 100 basis points (one full percent) in the first quarter, are unlikely to improve with the company offering 40% in its critical back to school season.


Most concerning is Lands’ End huge mass of debt. Over $490 million of debt sits on its balance sheet and requires $23 million of interest payments annually. With operating income shrinking each year, the company’s buffer to generate positive earnings is eroding.

Stock Talk

Howard

Howard

Filled @ $0.75 this morning at TOS.

Jon D.

Jon D.

Executed via TOS @ 0.75 cents I was really excited on this trade since my wife had to shop there for certain clothes in connection with a school 2 kids attend. taking carer of back to school shopping will be excellent. Its already up as is VFC.

Jon D.

Jon D.

I noticed on a chart LE last trade of day yesterday was a SELL of 2,772 shares. This AM I saw a headline and article that mentioned LE “Watch these Huge PUT Purchases in Wednesday Trade” from source Benzinga.

Jon D.

Jon D.

Hi Linda,
I am looking at the LE 16 DEC 16 17.5 Put and it is ITM today. I notice it is slowly rising in value, but the last buy was some time back. Can we interpret this action as meaning right now it won’t go higher; or will it go higher as the stock continues lower?

Linda McDonough

Linda McDonough

Jon,
The quote I see on the LE Dec 2016 expiration 17.5 puts is $2.65 up $1.55! The puts should increase in value if the stock remains under pressure (and of course the puts remain in the money). Expiration is not for another 81 days but this is a pretty nice gain and I believe quite a bit above where you likely purchased them. A long way of saying it’s quite possible they go higher but I think I’d sell half and take the gain.
Best,
Linda

Linda McDonough

Linda McDonough

Jon,
One more obvious note that I forgot to include. The CEO of LE’s is stepping down today- certainly not good news for the retailer.
Linda

Jon D.

Jon D.

Hi Linda,
I read the news about the CEO. I sold making a 60.97% profit which made my day, taxes are due soon so hat helps. I sold them all earlier at 2.55. That was a great suggestion – I appreciate it. Unfortunately short term politicians will be somewhat like waiting for the Feds I guess.
Thanks again,
Jon

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