Look For an Auto Bounce, Buy Calls on Ford and General Motors
The Trades:
Buy to open the October 19, 2018 call on Ford (NYSE: F) with a strike price of $10.00 at $.13 or lower. Symbol (F181019C10)
Buy to open the October 19, 2018 call on General Motors (NYSE: GM) with a strike price of $37 at $.57 or lower. Symbol (GM181019C37)
Rationale:
Investors have abandoned auto stocks this year for a plethora of reasons.
A big one is an uncertainty over the fate of NAFTA. Demands requiring more parts to be manufactured in NAFTA based countries increases the cost of making each car. In addition, the price of steel has risen dramatically due to tariffs and cuts into the profits per vehicle.
I am not entirely convinced that auto companies are out of the woods, which is why I am recommending just the call options and not including the stocks in our portfolio. (The stocks that I recommend for the portfolio tend to be longer-term holds and ones where I hold great conviction).
However, these stocks look ripe for a short-term bounce. All are profitable, trading near record-low valuations based on book value and price to earnings (P/E) ratios.
The October expiration date on these puts does not capture the companies’ third-quarter earnings report but will include the release of September sales data.
Stock Talk
John N
I think GM should be October 19 not 18th?
Thanks Linda – the GM is about $0.10 above your bid price for now.
Linda McDonough
YES! Great catch. I’m not sure how that happened. The symbol is correct. I’m watching the price but suggest patience.
Thank you.
Linda
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Akano
Ford filled at $0.12 cents
Working on GM
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Stanley
F filled for .14 @ Fidelity
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William Tamul
F filled at $0.14 @ TD
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Bill D
F filled this morning for $0.13 ND
GM filled this morning for $0.57 ND
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Daniel Long
F filled at 0.13 this AM at Fidelity.
GM filled at .57, also.
Thanks.
DL
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Ted
Both filled this morning.
F @ .13
GM @ .57
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Jeffrey J
GM filled @ $0.53 at TradeStation.
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Carl
F filled @ .13 on TOS
GM filled @ .57 on TOS
Thank You Linda
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Debbie Pruett
Now that these are tanking what are we suppose to do?
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Linda McDonough
Debbie,
I suggest sitting tight. My expectation is that the stocks will jump on a NAFTA resolution. It’s always possible I’m incorrect but this is what the trade is based on.
Best,
Linda
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Dave NYC
Thanks Linda. F already had a 30% gain this morning, I would like to know what is our target price for F and GM?
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Linda McDonough
Dave,
Good timing- I just published a sell alert on these Ford calls. Let me know how the trade worked out for you.
Best,
Linda
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