Argos Confirms Expansion Plans

On August 10th Argos Therapeutics (NasdaqGM: ARGS) released its second quarter earnings report, which in terms of financial performance was about what everyone expected. Although earnings came in worse than expected at a loss of 48 cents versus the analysts’ estimate of minus 40 cents, it beat on its top line revenue estimate which for an R&D company like Argos is arguably more important since it isn’t expected to make a profit at this point in its maturation as a business.

The company’s CEO, Jeff Abbey, reiterated the list of positive developments that have occurred thus far in 2016, including the continuation of its ADAPT Phase 3 trial for its critical cancer treatment, AGS-003, and the successful raise of nearly $80 million in two separate secondary stock offerings. Although the first $30 million equity sale was done to ensure enough operating capital through the end of the current drug trial period, until now there was some uncertainty regarding the specific use of the second $50 million sale.

However, it appears that money will be used primarily to complete a construction project the company had temporarily deferred earlier this year, based on this quote in the earnings release from Mr. Abbey: “Specifically, we are advancing our plans for the build-out and equipping of a commercial manufacturing facility and expect to finalize our arrangements for the facility during the third quarter of 2016. We will then promptly begin the build out and equipping of the facility so that we will be in a position to submit a biologic license application (BLA) as expeditiously as possible following the availability of overall survival data from the ADAPT trial, provided that the data are supportive.  We also intend to expand our clinical development activities in a measured manner as we explore additional oncology indications, including the ongoing trials of AGS-003 as neodjuvant therapy in renal cell carcinoma and in non-small cell lung cancer.”

Although the combined effect of both secondary stock offerings was to dilute the value of Argos stock significantly, driving its share price back down below $5 after trading above $8 in early June, the long term strategy behind these secondary offerings is now rounding into form. Combined with the recent addition of Dr. Richard Katz as the company’s CFO, who has a history of guiding R&D companies like Argos through complex financial situations, Argos is clearly moving in the direction of expanding its manufacturing and marketing capabilities on the expectation of receiving FDA approval to begin marketing its cancer treatment in the foreseeable future.

Shares of ARGS have been all over the map since we first recommended it six months ago, and are now trading very close to our entry price of $4.39 despite the massive dilution that has taken place since then. However, the company continues to move along the path towards FDA approval we anticipated when we first started recommending it, so we continue to rate ARGS a buy up to $8 for speculative investors seeking long term capital appreciation.

Stock Talk

Guest User

Guest User

Ya’ll watching what’s going down today with Novartis and Juno, Kite, etc? Sounds like they are doing a little belt tightening also. Aren’t there going to end up being numerous successful players in the CAR-T field down the road, as they all seem to be going after different cancer forms? Or is the end process more winner takes all? Juno had a set back but trial is still moving forward I thought and all of these players are setting on numerous pipelines and trials, which I would think are still moving forward. I presume staffing needs just seem to change in the process? What’s your take? CAN NOT WAIT UNTIL ALL CANCER IS GONE and a thing of the past and want to support all the best initiatives to get us there. Thanks for keeping us posted!

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

Yes, there will be more than one winner in the cancer immunotherapy sweepstakes given the wide range of diseases and specific complexities of treating each one. Right now the entire bio-med sector is under pressure due to concerns over how the ACA may driven down profits, but these small R&D firms should not be as affected as the “big pharma” stocks. I believe this space will crack wide open in 2017, with several of the small R&D firms getting acquired by huge companies like Gilead that need a new source of revenue growth.

M

Med

Do you think the 2nd stick offering is over which was driving its stock share price down <5 $..? Thx

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

Yes. And today one of our competitors, Zacks Equity Research, issued a pretty strong report on ARGS that appears to be driving its price back up so may be above $5 before the end of this week (http://finance.yahoo.com/news/argos-therapeutics-args-stock-stands-123912996.html).

M

Med

Any outcome/thoughts from today’s Argos meeting where it
participates in BioCentury’s 23 Annual NewsMakers in the Biotech Industry Conference ..? Thx..!

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

I think today’s overall stock market action overshadowed any impact the conference may have had, but I’ll watch it closely next week to see if anything else comes out of it. Thank you.

Douglas B

Douglas B

6 months ago when the stock was first being “pushed” by Duarte under the guise that FDA announcement was imminent. What happened to this announcement?

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

We have issued regular updates on ARGS since it was first recommended; a list of the articles can be found here: http://www.investingdaily.com/breakthrough-tech-profits/search/?s=args. Long story short, the trial results have been encouraging, but not so overwhelming that the FDA would consider accelerating approval for usage until the trial is complete.

David C.

David C.

Willing to wait for positive clinic data as I was able to buy1000 sh. at 2.62 and sell 200 at 10.5 this year. An excellent recommendation by Dr. Duarte.

Frank L.

Frank L.

Hi Douglas…I too was able to buy shares at 4.22 and sell some at 12.25. I continue to add to my position at these levels. Willing to wait for clinical data sometime in Jan-Feb’17. Yes an excellent recommendation by Dr. Pearce.

M

Med

FYI/
Argos Therapeutics Announces Publication of a Case Report on Long-term Survival of Kidney Cancer Patients Treated with AGS-003 Individualized Immunotherapy Featured in the Kidney Cancer Journal..

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

Add New Comments

You must be logged in to post to Stock Talk OR create an account