Jazz Jumps and New Bear Trade
First I’d like to thank all of the Wealth Society members who made it to the Investing Daily annual conference in Alexandria last week.
It was a delight to meet many of you and put a face to a screen name. I consider myself lucky to have such an engaging and charismatic group of subscribers.
If you were not able to make it, please continue to post questions and ideas in the Stock Talk forum on the main page. I love hearing from you.
We’re right on the heels of another earnings season so keep your eyes peeled for a flurry of new trades. I just issued a triple put alert this morning on three consumer product suppliers getting squeezed by Wal-mart. Check out the alert for put purchases on Spectrum Brands (NYSE: SPB), Church & Dwight (NYSE: CHD) and Edgewell Personal Care (NYSE: EPC).
In Portfolio News…
Jazz Pharmaceuticals (NSDQ: JAZZ) jumped 9.5% last week on news of a brilliant settlement regarding a generic version of its narcolepsy drug, Xylem. The settlement allows Hikma Pharmaceuticals to sell a generic version of the drug beginning in 2023. Jazz will receive a royalty on the generic sales by Hikma.
Not only does the agreement remove a cloud of uncertainty regarding the timing of a generic entrant, but it also allows Jazz to collect a hefty royalty stream on those sales.
Brokerage analysts rushed to upgrade the stock. Deutsche Bank analyst Gregg Gilbert raised his price target to $176 citing the Xyrem settlement. Earlier in the week an analyst at Piper released positive data from a survey with 25 sleep specialists regarding Jazz’s JZP-110 drug candidate for excessive sleepiness associated with narcolepsy.
The feedback “strongly suggests” that existing wakefulness promoting agents and stimulants are inadequate. The analyst said the survey indicates the market for JZP-110 is significant.
After the prior week’s valuation downgrade of Criteo (NSDQ: CRTO) by Goldman Sachs, the stock got more friends this week. Its price target was raised to $55 from $48 by SunTrust analyst Matthew Thornton. After conversations with private ad tech companies, he believes demand remains solid and that Criteo’s first quarter will likely beat estimates.
Put position McCormick (NYSE: MKC) was upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at JPMorgan The analyst continues to view the stock as overvalued but notes management “sounded highly confident about current fundamentals.”
I disagree. Management of public companies is notoriously optimistic. After all, part of its job is to exude confidence. I expect continued softening in revenue from McCormick’s grocery store customers to hurt profits. Customer and put position Kroger (NYSE: KR) reports its next quarter on June 15, well before our McCormick and Kroger puts expire.
New stock position Smart Sand (NSDQ: SND) announced an expansion of its agreement with railroad company Union Pacific. Increasing demand for the company’s premier Northern White raw frac sand requires more capacity to transport its sand to the operating basins of its customers. This is certainly a bullish sign for Smart Sand’s revenue trends.
Stock Talk
Santo
Hi Linda,
It was great to meet you last week at the Wealth Society Summit and I enjoyed your session greatly as well as your #1.
I have been mostly trading on Jim Fink’s services, but I hope to be expanding into your trades shortly. Just called my broker to separate out an account to set aside for your trades so as to not mix those with the trades I apply towards Jim Fink’s positions.
I look forward to following your positions closely and hopefully you won’t mind some clarifying questions from me on this forum as I am going to be new to your service and will have some newbie questions perhaps.
Linda McDonough
Hi Santo,
A pleasure to meet you as well. It was such a treat to meet up with the WESO community.
I would be happy to answer any questions you have. Feel free to post them here. I try to get back to you as quickly as possible.
Best,
Linda
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Derek: Las Vegas, NV
Thanks for the update Linda. It was a pleasure meeting you at the Summit, if you’re ever in Vegas be sure to touch base with me.
Derek
Linda McDonough
Thank you Derek! The same here- it was wonderful to meet you. Please keep the conversation going here and let me know if you have any questions or let me know how the trades are working out for you.
Best,
Linda
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Richard Bryan
What is the difference between the green and gray buy signals??
Brenton Flynn
The buy signal turns gray when a stock is trading above the suggested buy limit. Our team still in the early stages of rolling out new portfolio features, so please continue to give us your feedback.
Thanks,
Brenton Flynn
Publisher
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Curtis H
Hi Linda, being a veteran of Jim hoping you can emulate his guidance. I placed every trade you gave with marginal results. A real value for your trade recommendations would include stop loss and incremental increase in trades to close. Just my thoughts. I am no expert and realize you are one so hope you share your genius. Thanks, CH
Linda McDonough
Curtis,
Thank you for the suggestions. I think adding a stop loss is an excellent idea. Let me see if I can add that to our table or perhaps in the interim I can include a stop loss in my initial recommendations on stocks. Thanks for being a subscriber.
Best,
Linda
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